学習モデル比較

Version 1.6.2ではAutoMLとModel Builderの学習モデルを添付してますのでちょっと選択のヒント的に比較してみます。対象は2024.7.1～2024.9.8です。

75R	ShinbaTimeCK.zip	ShinbaTimeCK.mlnet
単勝	25.33%(95.60%)	25.33%(109.60%)
複勝	48.00%(71.47%)	49.33%(78.67%)
枠連	10.64%(52.13%)	19.15%(138.94%)
馬連	6.67%(51.60%)	12.00%(95.73%)
ワイド	14.67%(55.33%)	21.33%(56.67%)
馬単	1.33%(30.13%)	4.00%(85.07%)
三連複	2.67%(53.73%)	5.33%(75.20%)
三連単	0.00%(0.00%)	1.33%(324.93%)
総合	48.00%(51.21%)	52.00%(119.70%)

572R	SouhaTimeCK.ziip	SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
単勝	19.06%(76.91%)	24.13%(79.91%)
複勝	46.68%(79.93%)	55.42%(87.64%)
枠連	9.27%(72.94%)	11.69%(70.38%)
馬連	6.99%(58.20%)	8.57%(61.50%)
ワイド	17.48%(65.91%)	19.93%(68.55%)
馬単	3.85%(60.07%)	4.72%(62.22%)
三連複	4.37%(69.63%)	6.47%(86.63%)
三連単	0.70%(57.73%)	2.10%(96.96%)
総合	48.43%(67.58%)	56.99%(76.83%)

647R	RaceJuniFullCK.zip	RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet
単勝	22.41%(80.03%)	22.87%(81.79%)
複勝	50.54%(80.37%)	52.40%(83.96%)
枠連	10.87%(60.99%)	12.89%(83.44%)
馬連	8.35%(59.06%)	10.05%(79.51%)
ワイド	20.56%(63.89%)	21.48%(74.05%)
馬単	4.17%(59.35%)	5.41%(66.26%)
三連複	5.87%(91.21%)	6.49%(113.93%)
三連単	1.70%(110.87%)	1.85%(66.11%)
総合	52.09%(76.02%)	53.94%(81.08%)

追記 2024.9.12 7:57
2024.9.7～2024.9.8で検証してみると

• ShinbaTimeCK.mlnet
  

  8R	1点	芝(5R)	ダート(3R)	8頭以下(4R)	9～12頭(1R)	13頭以上(3R)	多点
  単勝	12.50% (20.00%)	20.00% (32.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (40.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	37.50% (88.75%)
  複勝	37.50% (43.75%)	60.00% (70.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	50.00% (57.50%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (40.00%)	87.50% (78.75%)
  枠連	25.00% (142.50%)	100.00% (570.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (190.00%)	25.00% (51.82%)
  馬連	25.00% (141.25%)	40.00% (226.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (115.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (223.33%)	37.50% (91.25%)
  ワイド	37.50% (85.00%)	60.00% (136.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	50.00% (97.50%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (96.67%)	62.50% (90.00%)
  馬単	12.50% (83.75%)	20.00% (134.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (167.50%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	37.50% (116.67%)
  三連複	12.50% (126.25%)	20.00% (202.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (252.50%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (54.69%)
  三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (60.10%)
  総合	37.50% (76.17%)	60.00% (126.94%)	0.00% (0.00%)	50.00% (104.29%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (68.75%)	87.50% (73.43%)

• SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
  

  40R	1点	芝(17R)	ダート(21R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(7R)	9～12頭(16R)	13頭以上(17R)	多点
  単勝	35.00% (110.50%)	35.29% (152.35%)	33.33% (76.19%)	50.00% (115.00%)	57.14% (134.29%)	37.50% (122.50%)	23.53% (89.41%)	65.00% (78.83%)
  複勝	55.00% (74.50%)	58.82% (81.76%)	52.38% (70.48%)	50.00% (55.00%)	85.71% (94.29%)	62.50% (87.50%)	35.29% (54.12%)	90.00% (68.67%)
  枠連	7.14% (40.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.76% (65.88%)	-- (--)	-- (--)	6.25% (13.75%)	5.88% (52.94%)	39.29% (89.62%)
  馬連	7.50% (21.25%)	5.88% (6.47%)	9.52% (35.24%)	0.00% (0.00%)	28.57% (88.57%)	6.25% (14.37%)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (52.58%)
  ワイド	17.50% (27.75%)	11.76% (12.35%)	19.05% (35.24%)	50.00% (80.00%)	57.14% (74.29%)	18.75% (36.88%)	0.00% (0.00%)	35.00% (36.67%)
  馬単	5.00% (27.25%)	0.00% (0.00%)	9.52% (51.90%)	0.00% (0.00%)	14.29% (122.86%)	6.25% (14.37%)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (46.25%)
  三連複	5.00% (7.00%)	5.88% (6.47%)	4.76% (8.10%)	0.00% (0.00%)	28.57% (40.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.00% (8.19%)
  三連単	2.50% (26.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	4.76% (49.52%)	0.00% (0.00%)	14.29% (148.57%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.00% (9.43%)
  総合	55.00% (41.85%)	58.82% (33.92%)	52.38% (48.66%)	50.00% (35.71%)	85.71% (100.41%)	62.50% (36.17%)	35.29% (24.56%)	90.00% (29.65%)

• RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet
  

  48R	1点	芝(22R)	ダート(24R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(11R)	9～12頭(17R)	13頭以上(20R)	多点
  単勝	25.00% (77.08%)	27.27% (95.91%)	20.83% (56.67%)	50.00% (115.00%)	45.45% (100.00%)	29.41% (108.82%)	10.00% (37.50%)	58.33% (76.04%)
  複勝	52.08% (69.17%)	59.09% (76.36%)	45.83% (63.75%)	50.00% (55.00%)	72.73% (80.91%)	58.82% (82.94%)	35.00% (51.00%)	83.33% (63.96%)
  枠連	6.25% (45.94%)	8.33% (47.50%)	5.00% (45.00%)	-- (--)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.00% (73.50%)	37.50% (76.48%)
  馬連	10.42% (77.29%)	18.18% (145.45%)	4.17% (21.25%)	0.00% (0.00%)	36.36% (276.36%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.00% (33.50%)	25.00% (66.46%)
  ワイド	20.83% (43.13%)	27.27% (59.55%)	12.50% (25.00%)	50.00% (80.00%)	63.64% (120.91%)	11.76% (26.47%)	5.00% (14.50%)	37.50% (42.36%)
  馬単	6.25% (97.71%)	9.09% (174.09%)	4.17% (35.83%)	0.00% (0.00%)	27.27% (426.36%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (63.16%)
  三連複	8.33% (33.12%)	13.64% (64.55%)	4.17% (7.08%)	0.00% (0.00%)	36.36% (144.55%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (15.94%)
  三連単	2.08% (21.67%)	0.00% (0.00%)	4.17% (43.33%)	0.00% (0.00%)	9.09% (94.55%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (17.87%)
  総合	52.08% (58.67%)	59.09% (85.06%)	45.83% (37.07%)	50.00% (35.71%)	72.73% (177.66%)	58.82% (27.28%)	35.00% (26.25%)	83.33% (36.76%)

もう少し改善出来ないか色々と試してます。

さらだ Version 1.6.2

アプリ的には修正及び機能追加をしてます。

1. ファイル選択時の初期表示パス指定ミスを修正
2. 買い目入力画面で単勝・複勝の３頭ボックスの合成オッズ表示のツールチップ追加
3. 騎手リスト・調教師リストの修正
4. 学習モデル検証時に頭数別追加

今バージョンでは2004.1.1～2024.6.30のデータをModel Builderで学習させた

• ShinbaTimeCK.mlnet
• SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
• RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet

をVersion 1.6.0でも添付していたAutoMLで学習させたモデルと合わせて提供してます。さらだのメニューから[ツール]-[オプション]で「ML選択」タグでお好みの学習モデルを指定してご利用下さい。

2024.9.7～2024.9.8

• ShinbaTimeCK.zip
  

  8R	1点	芝(5R)	ダート(3R)	8頭以下(4R)	9～12頭(1R)	13頭以上(3R)	多点
  単勝	12.50% (20.00%)	20.00% (32.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (40.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	37.50% (88.75%)
  複勝	25.00% (30.00%)	40.00% (48.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (30.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (40.00%)	75.00% (52.08%)
  枠連	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (57.00%)
  馬連	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (72.08%)
  ワイド	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	50.00% (53.75%)
  馬単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (102.71%)
  三連複	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (26.56%)
  三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (14.53%)
  総合	25.00% (6.67%)	40.00% (11.11%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (10.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (5.00%)	75.00% (41.11%)

• SouhaTimeCK.zip
  

  40R	1点	芝(17R)	ダート(21R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(7R)	9～12頭(16R)	13頭以上(17R)	多点
  単勝	25.00% (76.00%)	29.41% (119.41%)	19.05% (40.00%)	50.00% (85.00%)	57.14% (130.00%)	31.25% (109.38%)	5.88% (22.35%)	62.50% (73.67%)
  複勝	50.00% (69.75%)	52.94% (78.24%)	42.86% (59.05%)	100.00% (110.00%)	85.71% (94.29%)	62.50% (89.38%)	23.53% (41.18%)	90.00% (75.33%)
  枠連	10.71% (78.21%)	18.18% (179.09%)	5.88% (12.94%)	-- (--)	-- (--)	18.75% (136.87%)	0.00% (0.00%)	28.57% (82.95%)
  馬連	12.50% (60.25%)	11.76% (87.65%)	14.29% (43.81%)	0.00% (0.00%)	42.86% (114.29%)	12.50% (100.63%)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (51.08%)
  ワイド	22.50% (54.75%)	23.53% (59.41%)	23.81% (56.19%)	0.00% (0.00%)	71.43% (95.71%)	18.75% (65.00%)	5.88% (28.24%)	42.50% (56.25%)
  馬単	7.50% (20.00%)	5.88% (18.82%)	9.52% (22.86%)	0.00% (0.00%)	28.57% (81.43%)	6.25% (14.37%)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (51.50%)
  三連複	5.00% (7.00%)	5.88% (6.47%)	4.76% (8.10%)	0.00% (0.00%)	28.57% (40.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	15.00% (20.06%)
  三連単	2.50% (9.75%)	5.88% (22.94%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	14.29% (55.71%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	15.00% (23.18%)
  総合	55.00% (45.75%)	64.71% (66.54%)	42.86% (30.79%)	100.00% (27.86%)	100.00% (87.35%)	68.75% (64.45%)	23.53% (11.47%)	90.00% (39.13%)

• RaceJuniFullCK.zip
  

  48R	1点	芝(22R)	ダート(24R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(11R)	9～12頭(17R)	13頭以上(20R)	多点
  単勝	29.17% (77.29%)	22.73% (80.00%)	33.33% (71.67%)	50.00% (115.00%)	36.36% (68.18%)	41.18% (122.35%)	15.00% (44.00%)	56.25% (72.43%)
  複勝	50.00% (63.75%)	50.00% (61.82%)	50.00% (66.25%)	50.00% (55.00%)	63.64% (68.18%)	64.71% (88.82%)	30.00% (40.00%)	81.25% (65.28%)
  枠連	12.50% (90.94%)	16.67% (124.17%)	10.00% (71.00%)	-- (--)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (145.50%)	40.62% (91.70%)
  馬連	10.42% (46.88%)	13.64% (56.36%)	8.33% (42.08%)	0.00% (0.00%)	27.27% (98.18%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.00% (58.50%)	25.00% (66.46%)
  ワイド	20.83% (39.37%)	22.73% (40.45%)	16.67% (35.00%)	50.00% (80.00%)	54.55% (82.73%)	11.76% (26.47%)	10.00% (26.50%)	37.50% (45.49%)
  馬単	4.17% (31.87%)	4.55% (30.45%)	4.17% (35.83%)	0.00% (0.00%)	18.18% (139.09%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (63.16%)
  三連複	8.33% (33.12%)	13.64% (64.55%)	4.17% (7.08%)	0.00% (0.00%)	36.36% (144.55%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	18.75% (34.22%)
  三連単	2.08% (21.67%)	0.00% (0.00%)	4.17% (43.33%)	0.00% (0.00%)	9.09% (94.55%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	18.75% (39.27%)
  総合	50.00% (48.86%)	50.00% (53.19%)	50.00% (46.01%)	50.00% (35.71%)	63.64% (99.35%)	64.71% (29.71%)	30.00% (39.31%)	81.25% (49.66%)

決して満足の行く結果ではないので、予定通りに行けば明日朝終わる順位フルCKの24時間学習で出来上がる学習モデルを含めたVersion 1.6.2の変更申請を行います。明日はJRA-VANの定期メンテの日なので若干気になりますが、こちらからは準備出来れば直ぐにダウンロード可能になると思いますし、JRA-VANからも少し待てばダウンロード可能になる筈です。

2024.8.31～2024.9.1

• ShinbaTimeCK.zip
  

  7R	1点	芝(6R)	ダート(1R)	多点
  単勝	14.29%(94.29%)	16.67%(110.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	57.14%(68.57%)
  複勝	57.14%(85.71%)	50.00%(73.33%)	100.00%(160.00%)	100.00%(67.62%)
  枠連	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)
  馬連	14.29%(42.86%)	16.67%(50.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	28.57%(31.43%)
  ワイド	14.29%(27.14%)	16.67%(31.67%)	0.00%(0.00%)	42.86%(24.76%)
  馬単	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	28.57%(33.57%)
  三連複	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	14.29%(31.79%)
  三連単	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	14.29%(18.81%)
  総合	57.14%(33.02%)	50.00%(35.33%)	100.00%(20.00%)	100.00%(28.44%)

• SouhaTimeCK.zip
  

  65R	1点	芝(35R)	ダート(27R)	障害(3R)	多点
  単勝	20.00%(60.00%)	20.00%(59.43%)	22.22%(67.41%)	0.00%(0.00%)	41.54%(57.33%)
  複勝	41.54%(58.31%)	40.00%(55.71%)	48.15%(68.15%)	0.00%(0.00%)	80.00%(76.05%)
  枠連	11.86%(80.34%)	9.68%(79.68%)	15.38%(87.31%)	0.00%(0.00%)	23.73%(84.84%)
  馬連	9.23%(78.31%)	5.71%(61.14%)	14.81%(109.26%)	0.00%(0.00%)	20.00%(85.33%)
  ワイド	16.92%(64.15%)	11.43%(40.00%)	25.93%(102.59%)	0.00%(0.00%)	40.00%(95.54%)
  馬単	4.62%(66.62%)	0.00%(0.00%)	11.11%(160.37%)	0.00%(0.00%)	20.00%(87.77%)
  三連複	6.15%(282.92%)	5.71%(156.00%)	7.41%(478.89%)	0.00%(0.00%)	13.85%(90.08%)
  三連単	1.54%(446.31%)	0.00%(0.00%)	3.70%(1,074.44%)	0.00%(0.00%)	13.85%(56.15%)
  総合	43.08%(142.84%)	42.86%(56.16%)	48.15%(269.40%)	0.00%(0.00%)	80.00%(69.88%)

• RaceJuniFullCK.zip
  

  72R	1点	芝(41R)	ダート(28R)	障害(3R)	多点
  単勝	23.61%(88.61%)	29.27%(119.27%)	17.86%(53.21%)	0.00%(0.00%)	50.00%(70.42%)
  複勝	54.17%(83.47%)	51.22%(78.05%)	60.71%(95.36%)	33.33%(46.67%)	86.11%(80.42%)
  枠連	11.11%(93.02%)	11.76%(66.18%)	11.11%(133.70%)	0.00%(0.00%)	23.81%(67.81%)
  馬連	11.11%(117.36%)	12.20%(95.85%)	10.71%(161.43%)	0.00%(0.00%)	19.44%(62.27%)
  ワイド	22.22%(91.53%)	19.51%(73.66%)	25.00%(117.14%)	33.33%(96.67%)	40.28%(68.47%)
  馬単	5.56%(93.19%)	9.76%(163.66%)	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	19.44%(60.76%)
  三連複	2.78%(44.72%)	0.00%(0.00%)	3.57%(86.43%)	33.33%(266.67%)	12.50%(103.96%)
  三連単	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	12.50%(84.51%)
  総合	54.17%(76.23%)	51.22%(74.77%)	60.71%(80.67%)	33.33%(53.48%)	86.11%(78.86%)