2026.5.16～2026.5.17

• SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(34R)	ダート(35R)	障害(3R)	8頭以下(5R)	9～12頭(19R)	13頭以上(48R)	多点
  単勝	15.28% (40.56%)	17.65% (47.06%)	8.57% (21.71%)	66.67% (186.67%)	20.00% (74.00%)	5.26% (12.11%)	18.75% (48.33%)	48.61% (60.74%)
  複勝	48.61% (70.83%)	35.29% (46.47%)	57.14% (88.29%)	100.00% (143.33%)	60.00% (92.00%)	36.84% (42.63%)	52.08% (79.79%)	84.72% (71.53%)
  枠連	6.35% (27.78%)	3.23% (27.74%)	10.00% (29.67%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	10.53% (37.89%)	4.17% (21.46%)	22.22% (55.84%)
  馬連	5.56% (28.19%)	2.94% (29.71%)	8.57% (29.14%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.53% (40.00%)	4.17% (26.46%)	12.50% (41.99%)
  ワイド	15.28% (35.97%)	8.82% (25.00%)	20.00% (38.00%)	33.33% (136.67%)	20.00% (56.00%)	26.32% (43.68%)	10.42% (30.83%)	31.94% (50.56%)
  馬単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (44.65%)
  三連複	2.78% (11.94%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.71% (24.57%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.53% (45.26%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.11% (37.88%)
  三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.11% (25.93%)
  総合	48.61% (26.90%)	35.29% (21.93%)	57.14% (28.91%)	100.00% (60.87%)	60.00% (31.71%)	36.84% (27.70%)	52.08% (25.86%)	84.72% (38.25%)

• RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(34R)	ダート(35R)	障害(3R)	8頭以下(5R)	9～12頭(19R)	13頭以上(48R)	多点
  単勝	22.22% (67.64%)	26.47% (81.18%)	14.29% (44.29%)	66.67% (186.67%)	20.00% (74.00%)	26.32% (102.11%)	20.83% (53.33%)	44.44% (51.02%)
  複勝	55.56% (97.64%)	47.06% (96.76%)	60.00% (94.57%)	100.00% (143.33%)	60.00% (96.00%)	52.63% (76.84%)	56.25% (106.04%)	83.33% (73.84%)
  枠連	11.11% (55.56%)	6.45% (54.84%)	13.33% (42.00%)	50.00% (270.00%)	-- (--)	10.53% (37.89%)	10.42% (57.92%)	23.81% (65.95%)
  馬連	6.94% (60.56%)	2.94% (29.71%)	11.43% (95.71%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.53% (40.00%)	6.25% (75.00%)	13.89% (46.71%)
  ワイド	15.28% (39.58%)	5.88% (19.71%)	25.71% (62.29%)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (56.00%)	26.32% (43.16%)	10.42% (36.46%)	34.72% (58.33%)
  馬単	2.78% (55.14%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.71% (113.43%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.26% (20.00%)	2.08% (74.79%)	13.89% (44.44%)
  三連複	2.78% (11.94%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.71% (24.57%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.53% (45.26%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.11% (37.88%)
  三連単	1.39% (9.31%)	0.00% (0.00%)	2.86% (19.14%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.26% (35.26%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.11% (25.93%)
  総合	55.56% (49.58%)	47.06% (35.06%)	60.00% (62.36%)	100.00% (66.52%)	60.00% (32.29%)	52.63% (50.07%)	56.25% (50.44%)	83.33% (39.02%)

• DeltaTimeCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(34R)	ダート(35R)	障害(3R)	8頭以下(5R)	9～12頭(19R)	13頭以上(48R)	多点
  単勝	26.39% (84.58%)	35.29% (127.94%)	17.14% (44.29%)	33.33% (63.33%)	40.00% (140.00%)	31.58% (123.68%)	22.92% (63.33%)	52.78% (61.99%)
  複勝	61.11% (90.83%)	61.76% (88.53%)	62.86% (97.71%)	33.33% (36.67%)	40.00% (60.00%)	68.42% (88.42%)	60.42% (95.00%)	84.72% (75.65%)
  枠連	15.87% (151.75%)	16.13% (179.35%)	16.67% (133.33%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	15.79% (225.26%)	14.58% (110.00%)	28.57% (82.82%)
  馬連	11.11% (106.94%)	11.76% (130.88%)	11.43% (92.86%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	15.79% (176.84%)	10.42% (90.42%)	22.22% (76.57%)
  ワイド	30.56% (139.31%)	29.41% (150.00%)	34.29% (140.86%)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (48.00%)	47.37% (133.68%)	25.00% (151.04%)	47.22% (84.21%)
  馬単	4.17% (117.36%)	2.94% (144.12%)	5.71% (101.43%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.53% (277.89%)	2.08% (66.04%)	22.22% (68.68%)
  三連複	5.56% (115.28%)	2.94% (18.82%)	8.57% (218.86%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.53% (97.89%)	4.17% (134.17%)	13.89% (62.12%)
  三連単	1.39% (9.31%)	0.00% (0.00%)	2.86% (19.14%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.26% (35.26%)	0.00% (0.00%)	13.89% (49.36%)
  総合	61.11% (101.13%)	61.76% (104.13%)	62.86% (105.56%)	33.33% (13.04%)	40.00% (35.43%)	68.42% (144.87%)	60.42% (88.75%)	84.72% (60.75%)

ちょっとこちらの環境が既にVer. 3.1.0になっているので正しく検証出来ているか疑問がありますが、載せてみました。単なる参考程度に見て頂ければと思います。

Version 3.1.0は既に別の学習モデルを使ってます。次回リリースには添付出来るものを用意する予定です。ちょっと、まだやりたい事が残っているので時期が不明ですがご期待下さい。

2026.5.9～2026.5.10

• SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(34R)	ダート(35R)	障害(3R)	8頭以下(3R)	9～12頭(20R)	13頭以上(49R)	多点
  単勝	9.72% (55.83%)	8.82% (45.88%)	8.57% (50.00%)	33.33% (236.67%)	0.00% (0.00%)	15.00% (52.50%)	8.16% (60.61%)	31.94% (79.21%)
  複勝	41.67% (117.22%)	41.18% (108.53%)	40.00% (127.14%)	66.67% (100.00%)	66.67% (70.00%)	60.00% (142.50%)	32.65% (109.80%)	83.33% (95.19%)
  枠連	2.94% (23.38%)	3.23% (39.68%)	2.94% (10.59%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	5.00% (61.50%)	2.04% (7.35%)	16.18% (65.03%)
  馬連	1.39% (18.75%)	2.94% (39.71%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.00% (67.50%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (71.20%)
  ワイド	16.67% (97.78%)	20.59% (74.41%)	14.29% (128.86%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (46.67%)	35.00% (194.00%)	8.16% (61.63%)	37.50% (81.53%)
  馬単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (71.57%)
  三連複	4.17% (38.75%)	2.94% (5.29%)	5.71% (74.57%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (60.00%)	5.00% (90.50%)	2.04% (16.33%)	9.72% (71.28%)
  三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	9.72% (104.13%)
  総合	43.06% (44.11%)	41.18% (39.18%)	42.86% (49.03%)	66.67% (42.08%)	66.67% (25.24%)	60.00% (76.06%)	34.69% (31.96%)	84.72% (89.78%)

• RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(34R)	ダート(35R)	障害(3R)	8頭以下(3R)	9～12頭(20R)	13頭以上(49R)	多点
  単勝	9.72% (45.28%)	14.71% (61.47%)	2.86% (13.14%)	33.33% (236.67%)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (71.00%)	6.12% (37.55%)	33.33% (77.69%)
  複勝	38.89% (92.78%)	44.12% (91.47%)	28.57% (90.00%)	100.00% (140.00%)	66.67% (70.00%)	55.00% (132.00%)	30.61% (78.16%)	83.33% (97.45%)
  枠連	1.47% (4.41%)	0.00% (0.00%)	2.94% (8.82%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	5.00% (15.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	17.65% (90.74%)
  馬連	1.39% (4.86%)	0.00% (0.00%)	2.86% (10.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.00% (17.50%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (86.71%)
  ワイド	13.89% (81.11%)	11.76% (33.82%)	17.14% (134.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	66.67% (90.00%)	20.00% (127.50%)	8.16% (61.63%)	37.50% (87.27%)
  馬単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (76.88%)
  三連複	2.78% (27.64%)	2.94% (5.29%)	2.86% (51.71%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (60.00%)	5.00% (90.50%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.11% (100.35%)
  三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.11% (143.18%)
  総合	38.89% (32.20%)	44.12% (24.28%)	28.57% (38.57%)	100.00% (47.08%)	66.67% (31.43%)	55.00% (56.69%)	30.61% (22.17%)	84.72% (114.86%)

相変わらず次のバージョンに進んでいるので相対タイムの結果検証がこちらでは出来ないので割合させて頂きます。今回のは、若干無駄な時間かもですが、試さなきゃわからないので挑んてます。良ければ、このまま次のリリースになるかと思うけど、先週末は変更申請が若干遅かったのか、JRA-VANスタッフが手が回らなかったのはは不明ですが、今週末には合格とはあるかと思うけど、公開はしてるので気付いた方は既にアップデートしてくれているようなので感謝です。

さらだ Version 3.0.7

先日の緊急リリースからもまた色々と手を入れてますので、更新記録でご確認ください。今回は相対タイムのモデルを追加してます。前回リリースに加えDeltaTimeCK86400_02651.mlnetを添付いたします。好み(?)で使って下さい。まあ、本来更に良いものを各自で学習させるのが一番だとは思いますが、その手間や方法的に面倒と感じる方もおられると思うので。

2026.5.2～2026.5.3

• SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(33R)	ダート(36R)	障害(3R)	8頭以下(2R)	9～12頭(19R)	13頭以上(51R)	多点
  単勝	15.28% (87.92%)	12.12% (113.94%)	13.89% (53.33%)	66.67% (216.67%)	50.00% (70.00%)	10.53% (36.84%)	15.69% (107.65%)	44.44% (67.41%)
  複勝	38.89% (74.86%)	33.33% (73.03%)	41.67% (74.17%)	66.67% (103.33%)	100.00% (110.00%)	31.58% (41.05%)	39.22% (86.08%)	77.78% (79.63%)
  枠連	13.64% (113.79%)	3.45% (14.83%)	23.53% (208.24%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	15.79% (51.58%)	11.76% (128.04%)	25.76% (101.63%)
  馬連	11.11% (126.25%)	3.03% (3.64%)	19.44% (249.17%)	0.00% (0.00%)	50.00% (60.00%)	15.79% (70.00%)	7.84% (149.80%)	20.83% (86.06%)
  ワイド	23.61% (108.89%)	15.15% (57.58%)	30.56% (155.56%)	33.33% (113.33%)	50.00% (55.00%)	26.32% (66.84%)	21.57% (126.67%)	37.50% (103.38%)
  馬単	5.56% (141.39%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.11% (282.78%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.53% (77.89%)	3.92% (170.59%)	20.83% (76.78%)
  三連複	8.33% (231.94%)	3.03% (76.97%)	13.89% (393.33%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	15.79% (115.26%)	5.88% (284.51%)	12.50% (107.15%)
  三連単	1.39% (51.25%)	0.00% (0.00%)	2.78% (102.50%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.26% (194.21%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (82.69%)
  総合	40.28% (117.07%)	33.33% (42.92%)	44.44% (189.76%)	66.67% (54.17%)	100.00% (42.14%)	31.58% (81.71%)	41.18% (131.67%)	77.78% (85.32%)

• RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(33R)	ダート(36R)	障害(3R)	8頭以下(2R)	9～12頭(19R)	13頭以上(51R)	多点
  単勝	15.28% (78.61%)	12.12% (92.42%)	16.67% (63.06%)	33.33% (113.33%)	100.00% (150.00%)	5.26% (12.11%)	15.69% (100.59%)	43.06% (63.38%)
  複勝	37.50% (69.72%)	30.30% (65.15%)	44.44% (75.56%)	33.33% (50.00%)	100.00% (110.00%)	31.58% (38.42%)	37.25% (79.80%)	75.00% (77.69%)
  枠連	13.64% (145.45%)	6.90% (102.07%)	20.59% (195.29%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	10.53% (28.42%)	13.73% (177.65%)	24.24% (97.76%)
  馬連	9.72% (120.00%)	3.03% (3.64%)	16.67% (236.67%)	0.00% (0.00%)	50.00% (60.00%)	10.53% (46.32%)	7.84% (149.80%)	18.06% (80.28%)
  ワイド	20.83% (102.92%)	15.15% (57.58%)	25.00% (143.61%)	33.33% (113.33%)	50.00% (55.00%)	15.79% (44.21%)	21.57% (126.67%)	36.11% (110.14%)
  馬単	5.56% (176.25%)	3.03% (5.76%)	8.33% (347.22%)	0.00% (0.00%)	50.00% (95.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.88% (245.10%)	18.06% (71.32%)
  三連複	6.94% (224.17%)	3.03% (76.97%)	11.11% (377.78%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.53% (85.79%)	5.88% (284.51%)	13.89% (121.25%)
  三連単	1.39% (344.31%)	0.00% (0.00%)	2.78% (688.61%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	1.96% (486.08%)	13.89% (89.61%)
  総合	38.89% (157.81%)	33.33% (49.65%)	44.44% (266.47%)	33.33% (34.58%)	100.00% (67.14%)	31.58% (31.91%)	39.22% (206.27%)	76.39% (88.72%)

正式リリースしたので今回はと思ってたんですが、相対タイムの結果は今回も出せません。理由は単純に既にこちらのバージョンはまた手を加え、相対タイムの根底である\(\frac{走破タイム}{平均タイム}\)を\(\frac{走破タイム}{基準タイム}\)に修正済みで現在モデルの学習中です。週末には次のバージョンをリリースしますのでもうしばらくお待ちください。

さらだ Version 3.0.1

データベース更新時に馬毎レース情報に馬番が0のレコードが登録される事があり、それを削除する処理が抜けるバグがあったので修正しました。

さらだ Version 3.0.1

相変わらずチェックあまいままのリリースで面倒お掛けしますm(__)m

追記 2026.5.10 9:37
Version 3.0.7リリースしたので削除。

さらだ Version 3.0.0

以前Version 2.6.8でWin5購入フォームのリメイクしさ際に投票金額の編集が出来なくなっていたのを修正。その他前回のリリースから色々いじってるので更新記録でご確認ください。大きなものとしてはSQLite Version 3.53.0に対応しました。これ、パフォーマンスが若干上がってます。うちの環境では数分ですが、フルセットアップ時間が短縮してます。

それと、レース一覧で速報取得後にレースのソートが戻ってしまうのを修正。自分的には障害レースでの騎手のツールチップ表示を障害レースでのリーディングに変えたのは分かりやすくなったと感じてます。

相対タイム学習モデルはModel Builderで24時間学習させて先程出来たものを添付します。今回初の24時間学習なので今後も更に学習は続けます。\(R^{2}\)値0.2614で昨年1年間で検証すると

3,455R	1点	芝(1,689R)	ダート(1,646R)	障害(120R)	8頭以下(219R)	9～12頭(809R)	13頭以上(2,427R)	多点
単勝	22.17% (72.16%)	21.43% (69.27%)	23.03% (76.52%)	20.83% (53.00%)	33.33% (85.34%)	25.34% (73.41%)	20.11% (70.55%)	51.66% (77.06%)
複勝	53.14% (83.40%)	53.94% (83.94%)	52.13% (83.27%)	55.83% (77.58%)	69.86% (94.20%)	58.96% (84.05%)	49.69% (82.20%)	87.38% (83.10%)
枠連	12.30% (78.40%)	11.92% (83.28%)	12.39% (73.58%)	16.16% (85.66%)	-- (--)	13.72% (66.50%)	11.04% (77.39%)	26.96% (80.55%)
馬連	9.44% (76.89%)	9.24% (80.61%)	9.36% (73.86%)	13.33% (66.08%)	22.83% (94.75%)	10.38% (52.90%)	7.91% (83.27%)	20.67% (69.73%)
ワイド	22.72% (85.32%)	23.74% (89.26%)	21.45% (82.10%)	25.83% (74.00%)	50.23% (102.24%)	26.58% (74.65%)	18.95% (87.35%)	42.58% (81.30%)
馬単	4.83% (63.26%)	4.85% (70.91%)	4.80% (57.39%)	5.00% (36.08%)	13.24% (111.96%)	4.94% (43.42%)	4.04% (65.47%)	20.67% (68.61%)
三連複	5.62% (81.04%)	6.34% (72.21%)	4.80% (87.15%)	6.67% (121.58%)	18.72% (149.04%)	7.42% (78.01%)	3.83% (75.92%)	14.70% (69.06%)
三連単	1.30% (68.64%)	1.12% (60.04%)	1.40% (71.16%)	2.50% (155.08%)	5.48% (315.71%)	1.73% (80.53%)	0.78% (42.38%)	14.70% (65.17%)
総合	54.56% (76.11%)	55.54% (76.04%)	53.34% (75.64%)	57.50% (83.59%)	74.89% (136.18%)	59.83% (69.19%)	50.97% (73.07%)	87.73% (69.84%)

精度が少しでも改善するように今後も努力はします。これ、[ツール]-[オプション]で"ML選択"タグの"相対タイム"で"ML\DeltaTimeCK.mlnet"またはインストールフォルダ含めたフルパスになっている事をご確認ください。

2026.4.25～2026.4.26

• SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(37R)	ダート(33R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(3R)	9～12頭(13R)	13頭以上(56R)	多点
  単勝	13.89% (45.69%)	5.41% (10.54%)	18.18% (63.33%)	100.00% (405.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	23.08% (42.31%)	12.50% (48.93%)	41.67% (52.31%)
  複勝	43.06% (85.69%)	37.84% (57.03%)	45.45% (113.03%)	100.00% (165.00%)	100.00% (156.67%)	38.46% (84.62%)	41.07% (82.14%)	80.56% (71.25%)
  枠連	10.29% (50.59%)	12.12% (52.12%)	9.09% (52.12%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	15.38% (60.77%)	8.93% (47.32%)	22.06% (66.06%)
  馬連	8.33% (41.39%)	13.51% (68.11%)	3.03% (13.94%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (80.00%)	15.38% (62.31%)	5.36% (34.46%)	16.67% (55.69%)
  ワイド	19.44% (65.00%)	21.62% (56.49%)	15.15% (73.03%)	50.00% (90.00%)	33.33% (43.33%)	30.77% (65.38%)	16.07% (66.07%)	27.78% (56.06%)
  馬単	2.78% (27.92%)	2.70% (13.78%)	3.03% (45.45%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	7.69% (39.23%)	1.79% (26.79%)	16.67% (48.15%)
  三連複	4.17% (86.81%)	2.70% (85.14%)	6.06% (93.94%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	7.69% (242.31%)	3.57% (55.36%)	8.33% (40.35%)
  三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	8.33% (25.74%)
  総合	43.06% (50.38%)	37.84% (42.77%)	45.45% (56.86%)	100.00% (82.50%)	100.00% (40.00%)	38.46% (74.62%)	41.07% (45.13%)	80.56% (40.08%)

• RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(37R)	ダート(33R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(3R)	9～12頭(13R)	13頭以上(56R)	多点
  単勝	13.89% (49.44%)	5.41% (13.51%)	21.21% (87.88%)	50.00% (80.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	15.38% (25.38%)	14.29% (57.68%)	41.67% (53.56%)
  複勝	41.67% (65.69%)	40.54% (59.73%)	39.39% (66.36%)	100.00% (165.00%)	100.00% (156.67%)	38.46% (56.92%)	39.29% (62.86%)	77.78% (70.00%)
  枠連	10.29% (64.71%)	9.09% (37.27%)	9.09% (52.12%)	50.00% (725.00%)	-- (--)	7.69% (23.08%)	10.71% (73.21%)	25.00% (81.24%)
  馬連	8.33% (53.89%)	10.81% (54.59%)	3.03% (13.94%)	50.00% (700.00%)	33.33% (80.00%)	7.69% (23.85%)	7.14% (59.46%)	16.67% (56.71%)
  ワイド	18.06% (68.61%)	18.92% (50.27%)	12.12% (67.58%)	100.00% (425.00%)	33.33% (43.33%)	23.08% (47.69%)	16.07% (74.82%)	29.17% (65.51%)
  馬単	1.39% (7.08%)	2.70% (13.78%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	7.69% (39.23%)	0.00% (0.00%)	16.67% (50.56%)
  三連複	4.17% (86.81%)	2.70% (85.14%)	6.06% (93.94%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	7.69% (242.31%)	3.57% (55.36%)	6.94% (36.01%)
  三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	6.94% (22.33%)
  総合	41.67% (49.42%)	40.54% (39.32%)	39.39% (47.73%)	100.00% (261.87%)	100.00% (40.00%)	38.46% (57.31%)	39.29% (47.92%)	77.78% (39.83%)

本来なら相対タイムの結果も上げたいのですが、こちらの環境が既にバージョンが上がってる為にリリースしたモデルの検証が出ないです。開発が一段落したら一緒に結果上げる様にします。

さらだ Version 2.9.0

データベース更新が出来ない致命的なバグでご迷惑おかけして申し訳ありません。この所取り掛かっていた相対タイムもある程度なものとしてリリースさせて頂きます。これまでのモデルを超えられるものを目指して、未だに学習させ続けてますので、今回リリースするのはあくまで現時点で得られたものです。これまでモデルの学習時にはRMSEを利用してましたが、今回の相対タイムではRMSEでも可能ですが0.011とか非常に小さくなり過ぎて分かり辛いので\(R^{2}\)で学習させてます。ここまで得られた最高\(R^{2}\)が0.2551、学習データは2004年～2024年の21年分で1.38GBのものでDeltaTimeCK.zipとして添付してます。先日のVersion 2.8.7を既にインストールされた方は[ツール]-[オプション]の"ML選択"タブで確認して欲しいですが、相対タイムで指定しているモデルが"DeltaTimeCK.mlnet"となっている可能性があります。その場合は"DeltaTime.zip"に変えてください。

3,455R	1点	芝(1,689R)	ダート(1,646R)	障害(120R)	8頭以下(219R)	9～12頭(809R)	13頭以上(2,427R)	多点
単勝	25.90% (76.98%)	24.69% (74.85%)	27.04% (79.97%)	27.50% (65.92%)	34.70% (82.47%)	27.19% (73.82%)	24.68% (77.54%)	55.89% (76.35%)
複勝	58.03% (83.45%)	56.90% (82.65%)	58.63% (84.02%)	65.83% (86.83%)	68.04% (85.48%)	62.42% (82.99%)	55.67% (83.42%)	89.06% (81.53%)
枠連	14.11% (73.78%)	13.41% (73.06%)	13.91% (71.78%)	27.27% (115.96%)	-- (--)	16.69% (73.45%)	12.36% (69.21%)	29.79% (74.33%)
馬連	11.23% (69.88%)	10.66% (65.63%)	11.18% (72.08%)	20.00% (99.58%)	25.11% (84.98%)	13.35% (68.54%)	9.27% (68.97%)	24.08% (69.52%)
ワイド	25.38% (76.63%)	25.22% (74.14%)	25.03% (78.62%)	32.50% (84.25%)	50.23% (92.37%)	30.28% (75.86%)	21.51% (75.46%)	47.15% (74.84%)
馬単	5.99% (70.44%)	5.51% (65.20%)	6.08% (74.00%)	11.67% (95.42%)	13.24% (90.14%)	6.30% (57.82%)	5.23% (72.87%)	24.08% (66.99%)
三連複	6.05% (57.61%)	6.93% (57.18%)	5.16% (57.89%)	5.83% (59.83%)	15.98% (60.55%)	8.90% (74.30%)	4.20% (51.78%)	16.44% (67.67%)
三連単	1.39% (49.22%)	1.48% (57.51%)	1.34% (43.15%)	0.83% (16.00%)	3.20% (45.57%)	2.22% (89.84%)	0.95% (36.02%)	16.44% (62.15%)
総合	59.28% (69.69%)	58.44% (68.69%)	59.60% (70.18%)	66.67% (77.12%)	74.43% (77.36%)	63.41% (74.58%)	56.53% (66.91%)	89.35% (67.15%)

昨年1年で検証した結果です。これまで新馬戦は別モデルにしてましたが、今回は全てのレース統一して学習させてます。多分、これまでよりまだまだ回収率は低いのですが、的中率が上がってきてるかと。\(R^{2}\)が1.0に近い程精度が良いのですが、現状の目標は0.3です。このモデルより0.0449改善すれば大分良いものになるんじゃないかと期待してます。

標準モードでは既に対応済みで、こんな感じで表示され

"Delta"タブはこんな感じに過去走でのDelta値を表示出来ます。

外部プロセスの機械学習には評価指数選択が追加してあるので相対タイム学習時にはR2を選んで行う事をお勧めします。ハッシュビット数の選択とかも可能ですが、これは相対タイム学習では未だ使っておりません。これは最近取り組んでた走破タイムを改善しようと入れたものです。

分析メニューのMLに相対タイムを追加してます。事前にここでCSV出力を行ってから外部プロセス立ち上げで学習させて頂ければと思います。

秒数指定してLightGBMをチェックして評価指数は\(R^{2}\)にして繰り返し回数を指定して開始ボタンを押して待つだけです。

追記 2026.4.26 8:29
ご自身で学習させてモデルを得られますが、現在こちらでも改善作業中で特徴量の追加も行いますのでバージョンアップ後にそれまでに得た学習モデルが利用出来なくなる事は覚えていて欲しいです。モデルの学習には長時間掛かるので、それまでの時間が無駄になる事もありますのでご了承願いたいです。

(緊急リリース!) さらだ Version 2.8.7

今週データベース更新するとフォーエバーヤングの獲得賞金が32bitのint型の許容範囲を超えてオーバーフロー・エラーとなりデータベース更新不能となりました。ご迷惑をお掛けし、申し訳ありません。臨時に修正版を作成しました。これ、今回機能追加中の相対タイムが見えたりしますが、途中な為に完全には動作しておりませんがご了承ください。近日中には完成させます。

さらだ Version 2.8.7

SQLite自体は数値項目はlongで保持するのでデータベース更新のみで対応可能です。

2026.4.18～2026.4.19

• SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(33R)	ダート(37R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(5R)	9～12頭(16R)	13頭以上(51R)	多点
  単勝	15.28% (78.75%)	9.09% (51.82%)	18.92% (102.97%)	50.00% (75.00%)	20.00% (48.00%)	37.50% (191.87%)	7.84% (46.27%)	52.78% (110.05%)
  複勝	41.67% (94.72%)	39.39% (118.18%)	43.24% (75.95%)	50.00% (55.00%)	40.00% (84.00%)	50.00% (80.63%)	39.22% (100.20%)	84.72% (106.06%)
  枠連	9.38% (57.19%)	3.85% (9.62%)	11.11% (84.72%)	50.00% (180.00%)	-- (--)	18.75% (80.63%)	5.88% (46.47%)	26.56% (111.15%)
  馬連	4.17% (58.06%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.41% (103.24%)	50.00% (180.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (67.50%)	1.96% (60.78%)	13.89% (129.03%)
  ワイド	18.06% (117.78%)	12.12% (117.88%)	21.62% (118.92%)	50.00% (95.00%)	40.00% (86.00%)	18.75% (53.12%)	15.69% (141.18%)	45.83% (179.26%)
  馬単	2.78% (37.64%)	0.00% (0.00%)	2.70% (61.62%)	50.00% (215.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (169.38%)	0.00% (0.00%)	13.89% (127.71%)
  三連複	2.78% (728.47%)	3.03% (476.06%)	2.70% (992.97%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	3.92% (1,028.43%)	11.11% (246.42%)
  三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.11% (252.68%)
  総合	45.83% (147.83%)	42.42% (99.07%)	48.65% (192.92%)	50.00% (100.00%)	60.00% (31.14%)	56.25% (80.39%)	41.18% (177.92%)	86.11% (199.28%)

• RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(33R)	ダート(37R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(5R)	9～12頭(16R)	13頭以上(51R)	多点
  単勝	13.89% (63.89%)	3.03% (33.94%)	21.62% (90.00%)	50.00% (75.00%)	20.00% (44.00%)	18.75% (100.00%)	11.76% (54.51%)	50.00% (121.11%)
  複勝	43.06% (77.08%)	27.27% (55.76%)	56.76% (97.30%)	50.00% (55.00%)	20.00% (44.00%)	50.00% (75.00%)	43.14% (80.98%)	84.72% (105.51%)
  枠連	9.38% (46.25%)	3.85% (9.62%)	11.11% (65.28%)	50.00% (180.00%)	-- (--)	18.75% (80.63%)	5.88% (32.75%)	28.12% (200.68%)
  馬連	4.17% (20.42%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.41% (30.00%)	50.00% (180.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (67.50%)	1.96% (7.65%)	18.06% (231.62%)
  ワイド	16.67% (93.33%)	12.12% (100.30%)	18.92% (87.03%)	50.00% (95.00%)	40.00% (86.00%)	18.75% (78.12%)	13.73% (98.82%)	43.06% (186.20%)
  馬単	1.39% (5.97%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	50.00% (215.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	6.25% (26.87%)	0.00% (0.00%)	18.06% (225.63%)
  三連複	2.78% (606.11%)	3.03% (209.09%)	2.70% (992.97%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	3.92% (855.69%)	11.11% (252.33%)
  三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.11% (291.53%)
  総合	45.83% (115.09%)	30.30% (52.22%)	59.46% (170.68%)	50.00% (100.00%)	40.00% (24.86%)	50.00% (53.52%)	45.10% (141.30%)	86.11% (243.23%)

2026.4.11～2026.4.12

• SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(33R)	ダート(37R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(2R)	9～12頭(10R)	13頭以上(60R)	多点
  単勝	18.06% (54.58%)	15.15% (37.58%)	21.62% (72.70%)	0.00% (0.00%)	50.00% (165.00%)	20.00% (42.00%)	16.67% (53.00%)	34.72% (48.70%)
  複勝	58.33% (105.56%)	51.52% (107.58%)	62.16% (98.38%)	100.00% (205.00%)	50.00% (75.00%)	40.00% (47.00%)	61.67% (116.33%)	83.33% (74.86%)
  枠連	8.57% (45.29%)	3.23% (6.45%)	13.51% (80.27%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	20.00% (65.00%)	6.67% (42.00%)	15.71% (29.65%)
  馬連	5.56% (108.61%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.81% (211.35%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	6.67% (130.33%)	9.72% (45.09%)
  ワイド	13.89% (95.69%)	6.06% (49.70%)	21.62% (141.89%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	16.67% (114.83%)	29.17% (64.81%)
  馬単	2.78% (48.89%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.41% (95.14%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	3.33% (58.67%)	9.72% (50.28%)
  三連複	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	2.78% (6.39%)
  三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	2.78% (4.73%)
  総合	59.72% (57.37%)	51.52% (25.31%)	64.86% (87.47%)	100.00% (25.62%)	50.00% (34.29%)	50.00% (19.25%)	61.67% (64.40%)	83.33% (25.08%)

• RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet
  

  72R	1点	芝(33R)	ダート(37R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(2R)	9～12頭(10R)	13頭以上(60R)	多点
  単勝	19.44% (80.97%)	12.12% (28.79%)	27.03% (131.89%)	0.00% (0.00%)	50.00% (165.00%)	20.00% (42.00%)	18.33% (84.67%)	31.94% (44.07%)
  複勝	61.11% (105.97%)	48.48% (85.76%)	75.68% (129.73%)	0.00% (0.00%)	100.00% (125.00%)	50.00% (60.00%)	61.67% (113.00%)	81.94% (70.74%)
  枠連	8.57% (46.71%)	6.45% (15.16%)	10.81% (75.68%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	20.00% (65.00%)	6.67% (43.67%)	17.14% (38.29%)
  馬連	4.17% (105.97%)	0.00% (0.00%)	8.11% (206.22%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.00% (127.17%)	9.72% (44.03%)
  ワイド	11.11% (99.44%)	3.03% (33.33%)	18.92% (163.78%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	13.33% (119.33%)	26.39% (61.81%)
  馬単	4.17% (230.97%)	0.00% (0.00%)	8.11% (449.46%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.00% (277.17%)	9.72% (47.36%)
  三連複	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.56% (23.37%)
  三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.56% (13.08%)
  総合	62.50% (83.89%)	48.48% (20.42%)	78.38% (144.59%)	0.00% (0.00%)	100.00% (41.43%)	60.00% (20.87%)	61.67% (95.63%)	81.94% (29.93%)