久しぶりのバージョンアップです。ML.NETの最新プレビュー版採用して利用されるLightGBMがVersion 4.6.0になったので、外部プロセスのLightGBMを廃止。予想ファクターの過去走部分に追加をしてますので、以前のバージョンの学習モデルは使えません。今回提供している学習モデルは2004.1.1～2025.6.30のデータをもとに学習させたものに変更してます。2025.7.1～2025.9.7で検証すると
- ShinbaTimeCK.mlnet
77R 1点 芝(63R) ダート(14R) 8頭以下(20R) 9～12頭(29R) 13頭以上(28R) 多点 単勝 23.38%
(105.45%)23.81%
(65.08%)21.43%
(287.14%)35.00%
(103.00%)17.24%
(76.55%)21.43%
(137.14%)59.74%
(105.45%)複勝 57.14%
(96.10%)58.73%
(92.22%)50.00%
(113.57%)65.00%
(90.50%)51.72%
(74.14%)57.14%
(122.86%)90.91%
(84.85%)枠連 12.00%
(91.00%)13.16%
(63.16%)8.33%
(179.17%)--
(--)10.34%
(42.76%)10.71%
(118.21%)24.00%
(70.92%)馬連 10.39%
(82.86%)11.11%
(49.68%)7.14%
(232.14%)20.00%
(76.50%)10.34%
(55.17%)3.57%
(116.07%)22.08%
(105.97%)ワイド 18.18%
(44.94%)20.63%
(40.00%)7.14%
(67.14%)35.00%
(57.00%)20.69%
(47.59%)3.57%
(33.57%)42.86%
(72.55%)馬単 3.90%
(35.58%)4.76%
(43.49%)0.00%
(0.00%)10.00%
(106.50%)3.45%
(21.03%)0.00%
(0.00%)22.08%
(101.54%)三連複 5.19%
(23.12%)6.35%
(28.25%)0.00%
(0.00%)15.00%
(48.50%)3.45%
(27.93%)0.00%
(0.00%)15.58%
(111.75%)三連単 2.60%
(77.14%)3.17%
(94.29%)0.00%
(0.00%)10.00%
(297.00%)0.00%
(0.00%)0.00%
(0.00%)15.58%
(148.37%)総合 58.44%
(68.54%)60.32%
(59.33%)50.00%
(108.64%)65.00%
(111.29%)51.72%
(43.15%)60.71%
(65.98%)90.91%
(122.38%) - SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
643R 1点 芝(348R) ダート(273R) 障害(22R) 8頭以下(62R) 9～12頭(182R) 13頭以上(399R) 多点 単勝 22.71%
(78.41%)19.25%
(66.12%)25.27%
(87.88%)45.45%
(155.45%)40.32%
(94.84%)20.88%
(59.84%)20.80%
(84.34%)53.50%
(78.51%)複勝 53.19%
(92.50%)52.01%
(95.06%)53.48%
(88.94%)68.18%
(96.36%)67.74%
(86.29%)59.89%
(103.46%)47.87%
(88.47%)88.34%
(84.24%)枠連 13.44%
(118.25%)13.04%
(126.38%)12.75%
(109.32%)31.25%
(118.12%)--
(--)15.93%
(85.71%)11.03%
(121.83%)24.49%
(81.75%)馬連 10.73%
(104.34%)12.07%
(121.67%)8.42%
(77.00%)18.18%
(169.55%)22.58%
(75.81%)13.19%
(92.36%)7.77%
(114.24%)21.77%
(80.11%)ワイド 21.15%
(86.27%)22.70%
(93.59%)18.68%
(75.75%)27.27%
(100.91%)43.55%
(76.13%)25.27%
(95.82%)15.79%
(83.48%)40.44%
(78.41%)馬単 5.75%
(95.29%)5.46%
(91.09%)5.13%
(81.47%)18.18%
(333.18%)12.90%
(81.94%)7.14%
(104.34%)4.01%
(93.23%)21.77%
(76.59%)三連複 5.91%
(82.58%)7.47%
(62.39%)4.03%
(96.52%)4.55%
(229.09%)19.35%
(56.45%)4.95%
(110.77%)4.26%
(73.78%)14.31%
(58.65%)三連単 1.56%
(67.25%)2.30%
(62.96%)0.73%
(78.13%)0.00%
(0.00%)6.45%
(63.23%)1.10%
(18.24%)1.00%
(90.23%)14.31%
(54.48%)総合 54.43%
(90.06%)53.16%
(88.94%)54.95%
(86.65%)68.18%
(151.47%)74.19%
(76.38%)60.44%
(83.82%)48.62%
(93.70%)88.65%
(65.32%) - RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet
720R 1点 芝(411R) ダート(287R) 障害(22R) 8頭以下(82R) 9～12頭(211R) 13頭以上(427R) 多点 単勝 21.39%
(83.19%)19.22%
(74.14%)24.04%
(97.35%)27.27%
(67.73%)32.93%
(75.61%)20.38%
(80.62%)19.67%
(85.93%)53.75%
(80.21%)複勝 50.56%
(90.10%)50.85%
(97.32%)49.83%
(79.62%)54.55%
(91.82%)60.98%
(85.61%)54.03%
(104.64%)46.84%
(83.77%)87.50%
(83.40%)枠連 13.15%
(94.65%)12.74%
(78.66%)12.55%
(111.94%)31.25%
(124.37%)--
(--)15.17%
(74.03%)10.77%
(94.87%)25.30%
(88.90%)馬連 10.14%
(87.88%)11.19%
(89.32%)8.36%
(85.33%)13.64%
(94.09%)18.29%
(66.34%)12.80%
(77.63%)7.26%
(97.07%)22.50%
(89.62%)ワイド 20.00%
(73.71%)21.90%
(77.37%)17.07%
(68.50%)22.73%
(73.18%)39.02%
(69.76%)25.59%
(92.80%)13.58%
(65.04%)39.58%
(77.53%)馬単 5.56%
(84.75%)6.33%
(85.86%)4.53%
(81.08%)4.55%
(111.82%)10.98%
(83.05%)7.11%
(71.90%)3.75%
(91.43%)22.50%
(87.49%)三連複 5.83%
(90.93%)7.30%
(81.41%)3.48%
(92.09%)9.09%
(253.64%)18.29%
(50.73%)6.16%
(115.45%)3.28%
(86.53%)15.28%
(77.70%)三連単 1.25%
(20.65%)2.19%
(36.18%)0.00%
(0.00%)0.00%
(0.00%)4.88%
(81.22%)1.90%
(28.96%)0.23%
(4.92%)15.28%
(77.15%)総合 52.36%
(77.86%)52.31%
(77.50%)51.92%
(76.62%)59.09%
(101.29%)67.07%
(73.19%)54.98%
(80.75%)48.24%
(76.19%)87.78%
(80.41%)
こんな感じのものです。こう少し時間を掛けてより良い物にしたかったのですがなかなか良い物が得られず、取り急ぎバージョンアップを優先してリリースする事にしました。
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