さらだのサポートページ: 検証

ラベル検証の投稿を表示しています。すべての投稿を表示

2026年2月11日水曜日

2026.2.7～2026.2.10

ShinbaTimeCK.mlnet

6R	1点	芝(4R)	ダート(2R)	8頭以下(0R)	9～12頭(1R)	13頭以上(5R)	多点
単勝	16.67% (25.00%)	25.00% (37.50%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (30.00%)	33.33% (26.11%)
複勝	33.33% (40.00%)	50.00% (60.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	40.00% (48.00%)	100.00% (66.67%)
枠連	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	50.00% (174.71%)
馬連	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	16.67% (51.11%)
ワイド	16.67% (36.67%)	25.00% (55.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (44.00%)	33.33% (34.44%)
馬単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	16.67% (32.78%)
三連複	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)
三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)
総合	33.33% (12.71%)	50.00% (19.06%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	40.00% (15.25%)	100.00% (25.12%)

SouhaTimeCK.mlnet

60R	1点	芝(26R)	ダート(32R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(3R)	9～12頭(14R)	13頭以上(43R)	多点
単勝	18.33% (136.67%)	15.38% (233.46%)	21.88% (66.56%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (56.67%)	28.57% (46.43%)	13.95% (171.63%)	46.67% (107.44%)
複勝	55.00% (118.67%)	38.46% (108.46%)	68.75% (128.44%)	50.00% (95.00%)	33.33% (36.67%)	64.29% (90.71%)	53.49% (133.49%)	85.00% (84.28%)
枠連	8.00% (64.60%)	5.00% (53.00%)	10.71% (77.50%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	7.14% (75.71%)	6.98% (50.47%)	22.00% (138.60%)
馬連	3.33% (39.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	6.25% (73.12%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	4.65% (54.42%)	11.67% (87.72%)
ワイド	8.33% (38.00%)	3.85% (31.92%)	12.50% (45.31%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.63% (53.02%)	33.33% (67.89%)
馬単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.67% (83.42%)
三連複	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.00% (48.33%)
三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.00% (27.80%)
総合	56.67% (49.30%)	38.46% (53.37%)	71.88% (48.41%)	50.00% (11.87%)	33.33% (13.33%)	64.29% (26.61%)	55.81% (57.88%)	85.00% (56.49%)

RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet

66R	1点	芝(30R)	ダート(34R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(3R)	9～12頭(15R)	13頭以上(48R)	多点
単勝	13.64% (29.39%)	10.00% (22.67%)	17.65% (37.06%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	26.67% (44.67%)	10.42% (26.46%)	39.39% (68.94%)
複勝	50.00% (81.67%)	36.67% (73.00%)	61.76% (88.53%)	50.00% (95.00%)	66.67% (93.33%)	66.67% (109.33%)	43.75% (72.29%)	89.39% (92.07%)
枠連	7.14% (71.43%)	4.17% (15.42%)	10.00% (121.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	-- (--)	6.67% (24.67%)	6.25% (75.62%)	21.43% (72.23%)
馬連	6.06% (143.94%)	3.33% (24.00%)	8.82% (258.24%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	6.67% (48.00%)	6.25% (182.92%)	19.70% (101.97%)
ワイド	22.73% (142.42%)	26.67% (169.33%)	20.59% (127.06%)	0.00% (0.00%)	33.33% (133.33%)	40.00% (279.33%)	16.67% (100.21%)	50.00% (113.84%)
馬単	3.03% (40.00%)	3.33% (38.67%)	2.94% (43.53%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	6.67% (77.33%)	2.08% (30.83%)	19.70% (91.84%)
三連複	6.06% (126.82%)	10.00% (250.67%)	2.94% (25.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (462.67%)	2.08% (29.79%)	16.67% (57.23%)
三連単	1.52% (47.27%)	3.33% (104.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	6.67% (208.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	16.67% (53.78%)
総合	50.00% (85.64%)	36.67% (89.06%)	61.76% (87.05%)	50.00% (11.87%)	66.67% (32.38%)	66.67% (156.75%)	43.75% (64.77%)	89.39% (69.72%)

2024年12月29日日曜日

2024.10.1～2024.12.31

ShinbaTimeCK.mlnet

118R	1点	芝(70R)	ダート(48R)	8頭以下(2R)	9～12頭(29R)	13頭以上(87R)	多点
単勝	22.88% (69.15%)	21.43% (55.71%)	25.00% (88.75%)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.69% (44.14%)	24.14% (79.08%)	46.61% (61.95%)
複勝	40.68% (78.05%)	38.57% (74.29%)	43.75% (83.54%)	0.00% (0.00%)	37.93% (46.90%)	42.53% (90.23%)	78.81% (78.47%)
枠連	12.61% (167.75%)	16.67% (216.67%)	6.67% (96.00%)	-- (--)	10.34% (34.48%)	12.64% (202.53%)	23.42% (104.60%)
馬連	4.24% (186.95%)	4.29% (201.86%)	4.17% (165.21%)	0.00% (0.00%)	3.45% (11.38%)	4.60% (249.77%)	12.71% (99.77%)
ワイド	11.02% (82.03%)	8.57% (55.71%)	14.58% (120.42%)	0.00% (0.00%)	17.24% (44.83%)	9.20% (96.32%)	26.27% (64.89%)
馬単	2.54% (98.73%)	1.43% (9.57%)	4.17% (228.75%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	3.45% (133.91%)	12.71% (87.58%)
三連複	2.54% (27.54%)	0.00% (0.00%)	6.25% (67.71%)	0.00% (0.00%)	6.90% (55.52%)	1.15% (18.85%)	6.78% (25.40%)
三連単	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	6.78% (19.98%)
総合	43.22% (88.19%)	42.86% (75.72%)	43.75% (106.38%)	0.00% (0.00%)	41.38% (29.66%)	44.83% (108.84%)	80.51% (47.24%)

SouhaTimeCK.mlnet

721R	1点	芝(320R)	ダート(370R)	障害(31R)	8頭以下(60R)	9～12頭(181R)	13頭以上(480R)	多点
単勝	23.58% (73.04%)	23.44% (73.84%)	23.51% (73.81%)	25.81% (55.48%)	38.33% (74.83%)	28.18% (69.83%)	20.00% (74.02%)	52.84% (75.09%)
複勝	55.76% (84.84%)	54.69% (83.63%)	56.76% (85.89%)	54.84% (84.84%)	65.00% (79.33%)	66.30% (89.56%)	50.63% (83.75%)	87.38% (79.51%)
枠連	16.09% (104.18%)	16.42% (110.86%)	15.85% (98.27%)	15.79% (117.89%)	-- (--)	19.89% (104.20%)	13.75% (98.31%)	31.23% (88.07%)
馬連	12.21% (90.22%)	12.50% (76.38%)	11.62% (102.03%)	16.13% (92.26%)	23.33% (67.50%)	16.02% (84.70%)	9.38% (95.15%)	24.97% (80.97%)
ワイド	23.86% (79.53%)	21.88% (66.72%)	25.14% (88.38%)	29.03% (106.13%)	55.00% (102.50%)	27.62% (69.06%)	18.54% (80.60%)	42.30% (76.49%)
馬単	6.38% (71.07%)	6.56% (73.00%)	5.95% (72.41%)	9.68% (35.16%)	16.67% (62.67%)	7.18% (61.55%)	4.79% (75.71%)	24.97% (76.73%)
三連複	5.69% (56.70%)	5.62% (48.28%)	6.22% (68.73%)	0.00% (0.00%)	15.00% (63.17%)	11.60% (98.12%)	2.29% (40.27%)	15.67% (68.92%)
三連単	1.25% (53.91%)	2.19% (93.31%)	0.54% (24.35%)	0.00% (0.00%)	1.67% (15.67%)	2.76% (137.46%)	0.63% (27.19%)	15.67% (62.24%)
総合	57.70% (76.26%)	57.50% (77.58%)	58.11% (76.56%)	54.84% (58.60%)	73.33% (66.52%)	66.85% (89.31%)	52.29% (71.88%)	87.79% (69.81%)

RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet

839R	1点	芝(390R)	ダート(418R)	障害(31R)	8頭以下(62R)	9～12頭(210R)	13頭以上(567R)	多点
単勝	23.48% (75.97%)	22.05% (70.90%)	24.64% (81.17%)	25.81% (69.68%)	35.48% (74.84%)	28.10% (68.95%)	20.46% (78.69%)	52.32% (76.97%)
複勝	53.16% (83.73%)	50.26% (81.15%)	55.98% (86.27%)	51.61% (81.94%)	64.52% (80.97%)	59.52% (78.29%)	49.56% (86.05%)	86.77% (80.42%)
枠連	14.90% (120.86%)	14.37% (124.76%)	15.31% (117.81%)	15.79% (115.26%)	-- (--)	16.19% (86.05%)	13.58% (126.93%)	30.20% (93.29%)
馬連	10.85% (115.51%)	9.23% (106.33%)	11.96% (125.81%)	16.13% (91.94%)	27.42% (78.55%)	11.90% (61.57%)	8.64% (139.52%)	23.36% (84.98%)
ワイド	21.93% (84.43%)	18.97% (69.05%)	24.16% (96.89%)	29.03% (110.00%)	54.84% (97.74%)	24.29% (59.81%)	17.46% (92.10%)	41.36% (74.83%)
馬単	5.24% (77.81%)	4.10% (61.21%)	5.98% (96.46%)	9.68% (35.16%)	19.35% (89.84%)	4.29% (42.67%)	4.06% (89.51%)	23.36% (79.09%)
三連複	5.13% (55.32%)	5.13% (46.74%)	5.50% (67.42%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.90% (59.19%)	9.52% (87.62%)	2.65% (42.93%)	13.71% (64.33%)
三連単	0.72% (51.53%)	0.77% (58.59%)	0.72% (48.76%)	0.00% (0.00%)	1.61% (15.16%)	1.43% (158.48%)	0.35% (15.89%)	13.71% (66.41%)
総合	55.30% (82.61%)	52.56% (76.48%)	58.13% (89.86%)	51.61% (60.34%)	69.35% (70.90%)	60.00% (80.43%)	52.03% (83.95%)	87.37% (72.38%)

本来一年を振返ふりかえりたいところですが利用した学習データが今年9月末までのものを使いましたので10月以降のみで。来年はもう少し上に行ける様に色々と試したいとは思ってますので...Wish you all a greate new year!

2024年9月10日火曜日

2024年8月14日水曜日

2024.1.1～2024.7.31

ShinbaTimeCK.zip

113R	1点	芝(77R)	ダート(36R)	多点
単勝	24.78%(103.45%)	24.68%(91.56%)	25.00%(128.89%)	55.75%(85.78%)
複勝	45.13%(77.35%)	44.16%(69.22%)	47.22%(94.72%)	84.07%(80.94%)
枠連	11.63%(109.53%)	12.96%(135.56%)	9.38%(65.62%)	11.63%(126.90%)
馬連	7.96%(159.47%)	9.09%(203.51%)	5.56%(65.28%)	22.12%(135.43%)
ワイド	20.35%(96.11%)	23.38%(111.69%)	13.89%(62.78%)	37.17%(79.88%)
馬単	4.42%(178.50%)	6.49%(261.95%)	0.00%(0.00%)	22.12%(119.40%)
三連複	4.42%(51.06%)	6.49%(74.94%)	0.00%(0.00%)	11.50%(47.99%)
三連単	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	0.00%(0.00%)	11.50%(45.16%)
総合	48.67%(96.55%)	48.05%(117.89%)	50.00%(51.97%)	84.96%(70.80%)

SouhaTimeCK.zip

1,951R	1点	芝(899R)	ダート(975R)	障害(77R)	多点
単勝	21.48%(78.83%)	21.36%(82.02%)	20.82%(76.79%)	31.17%(67.27%)	49.62%(74.89%)
複勝	51.72%(86.06%)	49.72%(86.54%)	52.41%(85.26%)	66.23%(90.52%)	86.26%(82.71%)
枠連	12.30%(82.37%)	11.38%(79.55%)	13.16%(86.29%)	10.77%(59.54%)	26.34%(74.92%)
馬連	8.41%(68.99%)	8.12%(69.28%)	8.41%(69.28%)	11.69%(61.95%)	18.91%(71.57%)
ワイド	20.60%(80.41%)	19.13%(76.50%)	20.72%(81.23%)	36.36%(115.71%)	40.44%(81.53%)
馬単	4.66%(64.99%)	5.12%(69.79%)	4.31%(63.44%)	3.90%(28.57%)	18.91%(69.51%)
三連複	4.41%(64.94%)	4.00%(68.57%)	4.31%(58.82%)	10.39%(100.13%)	12.71%(74.85%)
三連単	1.03%(52.42%)	1.00%(67.78%)	1.03%(41.02%)	1.30%(17.66%)	12.71%(70.48%)
総合	53.31%(72.26%)	51.06%(74.92%)	54.36%(70.18%)	66.23%(67.83%)	86.57%(72.73%)

~~RaceJuniFullCK.zip~~

~~2,064R~~	1点	~~芝(976R)~~	~~ダート(1011R)~~	~~障害(77R)~~	多点
単勝	~~41.42%(218.83%)~~	~~37.81%(181.83%)~~	~~44.51%(256.29%)~~	~~46.75%(195.84%)~~	~~74.95%(174.04%)~~
複勝	~~76.36%(151.13%)~~	~~71.21%(138.04%)~~	~~80.71%(164.71%)~~	~~84.42%(138.83%)~~	~~96.90%(142.90%)~~
枠連	~~31.74%(323.31%)~~	~~28.66%(277.58%)~~	~~33.40%(352.18%)~~	~~46.15%(475.69%)~~	~~52.23%(243.92%)~~
馬連	~~25.73%(480.53%)~~	~~21.82%(382.60%)~~	~~28.59%(570.12%)~~	~~37.66%(545.45%)~~	~~45.06%(342.78%)~~
~~ワイド~~	~~48.55%(306.62%)~~	~~40.88%(238.79%)~~	~~55.00%(373.77%)~~	~~61.04%(284.81%)~~	~~71.46%(295.07%)~~
馬単	~~16.52%(580.71%)~~	~~13.93%(385.06%)~~	~~18.40%(762.58%)~~	~~24.68%(672.60%)~~	~~45.06%(348.43%)~~
~~三連複~~	~~19.57%(902.12%)~~	~~15.57%(485.35%)~~	~~22.35%(1,261.30%)~~	~~33.77%(1,468.96%)~~	~~37.31%(636.96%)~~
~~三連単~~	~~7.07%(1,282.82%)~~	~~5.02%(906.89%)~~	~~8.31%(1,579.81%)~~	~~16.88%(2,148.57%)~~	~~37.31%(675.72%)~~
総合	~~77.47%(533.37%)~~	~~72.64%(376.40%)~~	~~81.60%(666.81%)~~	~~84.42%(746.62%)~~	~~97.09%(501.58%)~~

RaceJuniFullCK.zip(2024.7.1～2024.7.31)

264R	1点	芝(154R)	ダート(100R)	障害(10R)	多点
単勝	24.24%(91.06%)	24.68%(107.66%)	22.00%(63.30%)	40.00%(113.00%)	53.41%(88.43%)
複勝	50.76%(81.93%)	50.00%(85.19%)	51.00%(77.50%)	60.00%(76.00%)	88.64%(81.70%)
枠連	10.96%(81.32%)	10.48%(90.32%)	11.96%(71.85%)	0.00%(0.00%)	26.03%(74.65%)
馬連	8.33%(73.60%)	7.79%(79.35%)	9.00%(70.00%)	10.00%(21.00%)	18.56%(63.88%)
ワイド	22.35%(87.58%)	20.78%(93.83%)	23.00%(76.60%)	40.00%(101.00%)	42.42%(72.44%)
馬単	3.41%(45.34%)	3.25%(42.08%)	4.00%(54.90%)	0.00%(0.00%)	18.56%(65.88%)
三連複	4.55%(64.92%)	3.25%(30.19%)	6.00%(89.20%)	10.00%(357.00%)	13.64%(45.41%)
三連単	1.14%(23.67%)	0.65%(8.25%)	2.00%(49.80%)	0.00%(0.00%)	13.64%(44.07%)
総合	52.27%(68.40%)	51.95%(66.53%)	52.00%(69.12%)	60.00%(91.51%)	89.02%(56.45%)

順位フルCK版の学習データが手違いで本来2004.1.1～2023.12.31の筈が2004.1.1～2024.6.30を使ってしまった可能性がある感じ。検証がここまで高い結果になるのは検証が学習データの範囲に入っている場合に多く見られる感じの結果なので、2024.7.1～2024.7.31の検証を載せました。

2024年5月29日水曜日

次期バージョンVersion 1.3.0の学習モデルの2024.1.1～2024.5.31検証

新バージョンリリースは現時点でもSystem.Data.SQLite.Coreのバージョンアップ待ちです。時差もあるので土曜日に変更申請とここでの公開可能かが不透明ですが、このバージョンに添付する学習モデルは一応準備しましたのでその検証を載せます。学習に使われたデータは1992.1.1～2023.12.31です。

ShinbaTime.mlnet(RMSE 1.6480)
単勝:的中[8.89%] 回収[65.11%]
複勝:的中[28.89%] 回収[79.56%]
枠連:的中[0.00%] 回収[0.00%]
馬連:的中[0.00%] 回収[0.00%]
ワイド:的中[11.11%] 回収[210.67%]
馬単:的中[0.00%] 回収[0.00%]
三連複:的中[2.22%] 回収[174.44%]
三連単:的中[0.00%] 回収[0.00%]
予想[45] 的中[13] (28.89%)
購入[¥36,000] 払戻[¥23,840 (66.22%)]
==多点買い==
単勝:的中[31.11%] 回収[63.93%]
複勝:的中[73.33%] 回収[85.11%]
枠連:的中[6.67%] 回収[41.33%]
馬連:的中[4.44%] 回収[81.56%]
ワイド:的中[17.78%] 回収[110.59%]
馬単:的中[4.44%] 回収[60.70%]
三連複:的中[4.44%] 回収[50.50%]
三連単:的中[4.44%] 回収[59.77%]
予想[45] 的中[33] (73.33%)
購入[¥219,800] 払戻[¥141,380 (64.32%)]
SouhaTime.mlnet(RMSE 1.3955)
単勝:的中[25.16%] 回収[79.52%]
複勝:的中[56.45%] 回収[86.59%]
枠連:的中[14.65%] 回収[92.68%]
馬連:的中[9.87%] 回収[77.13%]
ワイド:的中[23.04%] 回収[81.93%]
馬単:的中[5.14%] 回収[71.87%]
三連複:的中[5.43%] 回収[74.49%]
三連単:的中[1.06%] 回収[49.07%]
予想[1,419] 的中[816] (57.51%)
購入[¥1,123,700] 払戻[¥859,590 (76.50%)]
--芝--
単勝:的中[23.10%] 回収[79.89%]
複勝:的中[55.38%] 回収[88.59%]
枠連:的中[16.15%] 回収[112.38%]
馬連:的中[10.28%] 回収[83.23%]
ワイド:的中[21.99%] 回収[79.07%]
馬単:的中[4.59%] 回収[63.78%]
三連複:的中[5.54%] 回収[76.39%]
三連単:的中[0.79%] 回収[26.44%]
予想[632] 的中[360] (56.96%)
購入[¥497,500] 払戻[¥376,270 (75.63%)]
--ダート--
単勝:的中[26.44%] 回収[78.37%]
複勝:的中[56.85%] 回収[84.86%]
枠連:的中[13.41%] 回収[77.93%]
馬連:的中[9.32%] 回収[70.93%]
ワイド:的中[23.01%] 回収[81.63%]
馬単:的中[5.21%] 回収[76.05%]
三連複:的中[5.21%] 回収[69.81%]
三連単:的中[1.10%] 回収[66.81%]
予想[730] 的中[420] (57.53%)
購入[¥581,100] 払戻[¥440,410 (75.79%)]
--障害--
単勝:的中[31.58%] 回収[90.18%]
複勝:的中[63.16%] 回収[86.49%]
枠連:的中[15.38%] 回収[82.88%]
馬連:的中[12.28%] 回収[88.95%]
ワイド:的中[35.09%] 回収[117.54%]
馬単:的中[10.53%] 回収[107.89%]
三連複:的中[7.02%] 回収[113.33%]
三連単:的中[3.51%] 回収[72.81%]
予想[57] 的中[36] (63.16%)
購入[¥45,100] 払戻[¥42,910 (95.14%)]
==多点買い==
単勝:的中[53.14%] 回収[81.73%]
複勝:的中[87.32%] 回収[82.46%]
枠連:的中[29.52%] 回収[76.75%]
馬連:的中[22.34%] 回収[72.76%]
ワイド:的中[45.03%] 回収[80.87%]
馬単:的中[22.34%] 回収[71.58%]
三連複:的中[15.93%] 回収[72.14%]
三連単:的中[15.93%] 回収[67.47%]
予想[1,419] 的中[1,243] (87.60%)
購入[¥6,895,600] 払戻[¥4,952,120 (71.82%)]
RaceJuniFull.mlnet(RMSE 2.8565)
単勝:的中[24.59%] 回収[79.23%]
複勝:的中[54.92%] 回収[86.64%]
枠連:的中[13.86%] 回収[90.01%]
馬連:的中[9.43%] 回収[77.69%]
ワイド:的中[22.75%] 回収[90.29%]
馬単:的中[5.53%] 回収[77.55%]
三連複:的中[5.40%] 回収[81.34%]
三連単:的中[1.30%] 回収[86.82%]
予想[1,464] 的中[828] (56.56%)
購入[¥1,159,700] 払戻[¥969,900 (83.63%)]
--芝--
単勝:的中[22.77%] 回収[77.65%]
複勝:的中[53.54%] 回収[88.65%]
枠連:的中[15.64%] 回収[114.73%]
馬連:的中[10.46%] 回収[96.14%]
ワイド:的中[23.38%] 回収[105.12%]
馬単:的中[5.69%] 回収[91.54%]
三連複:的中[5.23%] 回収[84.34%]
三連単:的中[1.54%] 回収[129.85%]
予想[650] 的中[361] (55.54%)
購入[¥511,900] 払戻[¥502,910 (98.24%)]
--ダート--
単勝:的中[26.02%] 回収[80.98%]
複勝:的中[55.35%] 回収[84.93%]
枠連:的中[12.77%] 回収[71.35%]
馬連:的中[8.72%] 回収[62.59%]
ワイド:的中[21.53%] 回収[75.97%]
馬単:的中[5.28%] 回収[63.26%]
三連複:的中[5.15%] 回収[73.90%]
三連単:的中[0.92%] 回収[33.70%]
予想[757] 的中[430] (56.80%)
購入[¥602,700] 払戻[¥411,760 (68.32%)]
--障害--
単勝:的中[26.32%] 回収[74.04%]
複勝:的中[64.91%] 回収[86.49%]
枠連:的中[9.62%] 回収[80.96%]
馬連:的中[7.02%] 回収[67.89%]
ワイド:的中[31.58%] 回収[111.23%]
馬単:的中[7.02%] 回収[107.89%]
三連複:的中[10.53%] 回収[145.96%]
三連単:的中[3.51%] 回収[301.58%]
予想[57] 的中[37] (64.91%)
購入[¥45,100] 払戻[¥55,230 (122.46%)]
==多点買い==
単勝:的中[52.46%] 回収[79.52%]
複勝:的中[87.57%] 回収[83.45%]
枠連:的中[28.54%] 回収[75.76%]
馬連:的中[21.45%] 回収[69.74%]
ワイド:的中[43.99%] 回収[80.90%]
馬単:的中[21.45%] 回収[67.69%]
三連複:的中[15.85%] 回収[88.23%]
三連単:的中[15.85%] 回収[84.15%]
予想[1,464] 的中[1,287] (87.91%)
購入[¥7,114,900] 払戻[¥5,733,600 (80.59%)]

最低限な学習はさせたつもりです。も少しじっくり行えば更に良い物が出来るかもですが、そこはユーザー様に譲ります。

2024年5月17日金曜日

検証:2024.1.1～2024.4.30

現行バージョン(Version 1.2.0)で使われる学習モデルの現状です。これまで同様の各券種１点では

ShinbaTime.mlnet
単勝:的中[15.56%] 回収[182.00%]
複勝:的中[42.22%] 回収[97.33%]
枠連:的中[6.67%] 回収[33.78%]
馬連:的中[6.67%] 回収[37.33%]
ワイド:的中[15.56%] 回収[202.22%]
馬単:的中[4.44%] 回収[42.67%]
三連複:的中[4.44%] 回収[315.33%]
三連単:的中[4.44%] 回収[1,032.89%]
予想[45] 的中[19] (42.22%)
購入[¥36,000] 払戻[¥87,460 (242.94%)]
SouhaTime.mlnet
単勝:的中[27.45%] 回収[85.99%]
複勝:的中[59.39%] 回収[89.23%]
枠連:的中[16.45%] 回収[96.25%]
馬連:的中[12.03%] 回収[88.73%]
ワイド:的中[24.85%] 回収[84.92%]
馬単:的中[7.79%] 回収[104.35%]
三連複:的中[7.27%] 回収[98.63%]
三連単:的中[1.90%] 回収[91.31%]
予想[1,155] 的中[700] (60.61%)
購入[¥914,300] 払戻[¥844,680 (92.39%)]
RaceJuniFull.mlnet
単勝:的中[29.08%] 回収[148.93%]
複勝:的中[61.75%] 回収[127.37%]
枠連:的中[20.22%] 回収[185.12%]
馬連:的中[15.83%] 回収[242.66%]
ワイド:的中[31.33%] 回収[218.93%]
馬単:的中[9.00%] 回収[289.50%]
三連複:的中[11.08%] 回収[315.24%]
三連単:的中[3.00%] 回収[376.60%]
予想[1,200] 的中[757] (63.08%)
購入[¥950,300] 払戻[¥2,267,270 (238.58%)]

多点買いでは

ShinbaTime.mlnet
単勝:的中[31.11%] 回収[80.30%]
複勝:的中[71.11%] 回収[88.74%]
枠連:的中[13.33%] 回収[34.33%]
馬連:的中[11.11%] 回収[45.78%]
ワイド:的中[26.67%] 回収[147.93%]
馬単:的中[11.11%] 回収[40.04%]
三連複:的中[6.67%] 回収[122.44%]
三連単:的中[6.67%] 回収[99.91%]
予想[45] 的中[32] (71.11%)
購入[¥219,700] 払戻[¥194,080 (88.34%)]
SouhaTime.mlnet
単勝:的中[53.77%] 回収[79.14%]
複勝:的中[87.97%] 回収[82.40%]
枠連:的中[30.81%] 回収[80.40%]
馬連:的中[24.50%] 回収[78.26%]
ワイド:的中[45.37%] 回収[82.92%]
馬単:的中[24.50%] 回収[76.82%]
三連複:的中[16.28%] 回収[81.98%]
三連単:的中[16.28%] 回収[83.68%]
予想[1,155] 的中[1,017] (88.05%)
購入[¥5,611,000] 払戻[¥4,588,530 (81.78%)]
RaceJuniFull.mlnet
単勝:的中[61.92%] 回収[134.30%]
複勝:的中[92.33%] 回収[116.49%]
枠連:的中[36.90%] 回収[141.22%]
馬連:的中[31.75%] 回収[187.86%]
ワイド:的中[53.08%] 回収[180.29%]
馬単:的中[31.75%] 回収[184.67%]
三連複:的中[25.33%] 回収[272.21%]
三連単:的中[25.33%] 回収[286.24%]
予想[1,200] 的中[1,109] (92.42%)
購入[¥5,829,300] 払戻[¥13,544,940 (232.36%)]

コース別ではってか、新馬戦にも芝とダートがあるの忘れてコース別作らなかったので今後入れる方向で

SouhaTime.mlnet
--芝--
単勝:的中[24.51%] 回収[84.61%]
複勝:的中[57.25%] 回収[90.00%]
枠連:的中[16.44%] 回収[113.65%]
馬連:的中[11.96%] 回収[92.20%]
ワイド:的中[23.92%] 回収[78.02%]
馬単:的中[8.04%] 回収[109.84%]
三連複:的中[6.86%] 回収[71.61%]
三連単:的中[1.76%] 回収[51.22%]
予想[510] 的中[301] (59.02%)
購入[¥401,400] 払戻[¥344,980 (85.94%)]
--ダート--
単勝:的中[28.71%] 回収[86.18%]
複勝:的中[59.77%] 回収[87.45%]
枠連:的中[16.64%] 回収[82.98%]
馬連:的中[12.02%] 回収[85.59%]
ワイド:的中[24.87%] 回収[90.13%]
馬単:的中[7.35%] 回収[97.31%]
三連複:的中[7.51%] 回収[123.91%]
三連単:的中[2.17%] 回収[132.45%]
予想[599] 的中[363] (60.60%)
購入[¥476,400] 払戻[¥468,490 (98.34%)]
--障害--
単勝:的中[43.48%] 回収[98.91%]
複勝:的中[78.26%] 回収[103.91%]
枠連:的中[13.95%] 回収[92.79%]
馬連:的中[13.04%] 回収[91.09%]
ワイド:的中[34.78%] 回収[93.48%]
馬単:的中[10.87%] 回収[135.22%]
三連複:的中[8.70%] 回収[69.13%]
三連単:的中[0.00%] 回収[0.00%]
予想[46] 的中[36] (78.26%)
購入[¥36,500] 払戻[¥31,210 (85.51%)]
RaceJuniFull.mlnet
--芝--
単勝:的中[28.22%] 回収[167.95%]
複勝:的中[57.20%] 回収[125.76%]
枠連:的中[18.18%] 回収[173.81%]
馬連:的中[14.20%] 回収[221.99%]
ワイド:的中[29.55%] 回収[207.22%]
馬単:的中[8.52%] 回収[278.05%]
三連複:的中[9.47%] 回収[230.34%]
三連単:的中[2.46%] 回収[339.62%]
予想[528] 的中[313] (59.28%)
購入[¥415,800] 払戻[¥909,750 (218.80%)]
--ダート--
単勝:的中[30.67%] 回収[137.41%]
複勝:的中[66.29%] 回収[131.63%]
枠連:的中[22.74%] 回収[180.87%]
馬連:的中[17.73%] 回収[233.82%]
ワイド:的中[34.19%] 回収[226.82%]
馬単:的中[9.74%] 回収[315.91%]
三連複:的中[13.10%] 回収[406.90%]
三連単:的中[3.51%] 回収[425.85%]
予想[626] 的中[420] (67.09%)
購入[¥498,000] 払戻[¥1,284,000 (257.83%)]
--障害--
単勝:的中[17.39%] 回収[87.39%]
複勝:的中[52.17%] 回収[87.83%]
枠連:的中[6.98%] 回収[365.81%]
馬連:的中[8.70%] 回収[600.22%]
ワイド:的中[13.04%] 回収[246.09%]
馬単:的中[4.35%] 回収[61.52%]
三連複:的中[2.17%] 回収[42.39%]
三連単:的中[2.17%] 回収[130.87%]
予想[46] 的中[24] (52.17%)
購入[¥36,500] 払戻[¥73,520 (201.42%)]

これ、順位学習フルモデルの成績が異常な感じなのでバグがまだ潜んでいるかもなのでコード眺めて何かやらかしてるか確認します。ご利用には注意して下さい<(_ _)>

追記 2024.5.17 23:35
順位学習フルモデルの検証結果の原因なんですが、バグって事ではなく使ったモデルに問題がありそうです。機械学習で学習に使う期間、今回は1990.1.1～2023.12.31としてたんですが、手元には色々な学習モデルがあります。常により良い結果を求めて試してるんですが、学習用データ1990.1.1～2024.3.31ってのもあり、それで出来た学習モデルも存在してるんですが、機械学習の鉄則的な事で、学習用データ期間で検証すると異常なくらい的中するものになるんです。つまり、1990.1.1～2024.3.31を使った学習モデルで2024.1.1～2024.3.31という感じの期間を検証するとって話です。
今回のリリースで提供している学習データは「よくある質問」でも書いてる1990.1.1～2023.12.31を学習させたモデルの筈なんですが、手違いで1990.1.1～2024.3.31を学習させたモデルになってる感じです。更に、本来提供予定だったモデルが既に削除された感じなので戻ません。
まあ、学習データ準備して学習やり直せばモデル自体は作成可能ではあるんですが、順位学習フルモデルはModel Builderで１回１時間が基本なんですが、提供しようとしたモデルは２４時間学習を数回行った中での最適を選択してたので、そこに辿り着くにはかなりの労力と時間が掛かってしまいます。今更って感じになりますので、このまま1990.1.1～2024.3.31を学習させたモデルを同胞させて頂きます<(_ _)>

2024年4月21日日曜日

検証: 2024.1.1～2024.3.31

現行バージョン(version 1.0.0)のインストール時に使われる学習モデルの現状です。

ShinbaTime.mlnet
単勝:的中[15.56%] 回収[182.00%]
複勝:的中[42.22%] 回収[97.33%]
枠連:的中[6.67%] 回収[33.78%]
馬連:的中[6.67%] 回収[37.33%]
ワイド:的中[15.56%] 回収[202.22%]
馬単:的中[4.44%] 回収[42.67%]
三連複:的中[4.44%] 回収[315.33%]
三連単:的中[4.44%] 回収[1,032.89%]
予想[45] 的中[19] (42.22%)
購入[¥36,000] 払戻[¥87,460 (242.94%)]
SouhaTime.mlnet
単勝:的中[28.37%] 回収[89.69%]
複勝:的中[59.17%] 回収[89.32%]
枠連:的中[16.16%] 回収[95.77%]
馬連:的中[11.65%] 回収[82.92%]
ワイド:的中[23.88%] 回収[80.57%]
馬単:的中[7.50%] 回収[98.72%]
三連複:的中[6.46%] 回収[90.52%]
三連単:的中[1.38%] 回収[79.73%]
予想[867] 的中[522] (60.21%)
購入[¥686,100] 払戻[¥605,990 (88.32%)]
RaceJuniFull.mlnet
単勝:的中[22.48%] 回収[93.16%]
複勝:的中[50.00%] 回収[89.21%]
枠連:的中[11.95%] 回収[88.52%]
馬連:的中[7.79%] 回収[73.85%]
ワイド:的中[19.30%] 回収[85.32%]
馬単:的中[4.71%] 回収[92.66%]
三連複:的中[4.28%] 回収[109.58%]
三連単:的中[0.77%] 回収[92.58%]
予想[912] 的中[471] (51.64%)
購入[¥722,100] 払戻[¥654,450 (90.63%)]

今後を保障するものではありません。

登録: 投稿 (Atom)

75R	ShinbaTimeCK.zip	ShinbaTimeCK.mlnet
単勝	25.33%(95.60%)	25.33%(109.60%)
複勝	48.00%(71.47%)	49.33%(78.67%)
枠連	10.64%(52.13%)	19.15%(138.94%)
馬連	6.67%(51.60%)	12.00%(95.73%)
ワイド	14.67%(55.33%)	21.33%(56.67%)
馬単	1.33%(30.13%)	4.00%(85.07%)
三連複	2.67%(53.73%)	5.33%(75.20%)
三連単	0.00%(0.00%)	1.33%(324.93%)
総合	48.00%(51.21%)	52.00%(119.70%)

572R	SouhaTimeCK.ziip	SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
単勝	19.06%(76.91%)	24.13%(79.91%)
複勝	46.68%(79.93%)	55.42%(87.64%)
枠連	9.27%(72.94%)	11.69%(70.38%)
馬連	6.99%(58.20%)	8.57%(61.50%)
ワイド	17.48%(65.91%)	19.93%(68.55%)
馬単	3.85%(60.07%)	4.72%(62.22%)
三連複	4.37%(69.63%)	6.47%(86.63%)
三連単	0.70%(57.73%)	2.10%(96.96%)
総合	48.43%(67.58%)	56.99%(76.83%)

647R	RaceJuniFullCK.zip	RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet
単勝	22.41%(80.03%)	22.87%(81.79%)
複勝	50.54%(80.37%)	52.40%(83.96%)
枠連	10.87%(60.99%)	12.89%(83.44%)
馬連	8.35%(59.06%)	10.05%(79.51%)
ワイド	20.56%(63.89%)	21.48%(74.05%)
馬単	4.17%(59.35%)	5.41%(66.26%)
三連複	5.87%(91.21%)	6.49%(113.93%)
三連単	1.70%(110.87%)	1.85%(66.11%)
総合	52.09%(76.02%)	53.94%(81.08%)

40R	1点	芝(17R)	ダート(21R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(7R)	9～12頭(16R)	13頭以上(17R)	多点
単勝	35.00% (110.50%)	35.29% (152.35%)	33.33% (76.19%)	50.00% (115.00%)	57.14% (134.29%)	37.50% (122.50%)	23.53% (89.41%)	65.00% (78.83%)
複勝	55.00% (74.50%)	58.82% (81.76%)	52.38% (70.48%)	50.00% (55.00%)	85.71% (94.29%)	62.50% (87.50%)	35.29% (54.12%)	90.00% (68.67%)
枠連	7.14% (40.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	11.76% (65.88%)	-- (--)	-- (--)	6.25% (13.75%)	5.88% (52.94%)	39.29% (89.62%)
馬連	7.50% (21.25%)	5.88% (6.47%)	9.52% (35.24%)	0.00% (0.00%)	28.57% (88.57%)	6.25% (14.37%)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (52.58%)
ワイド	17.50% (27.75%)	11.76% (12.35%)	19.05% (35.24%)	50.00% (80.00%)	57.14% (74.29%)	18.75% (36.88%)	0.00% (0.00%)	35.00% (36.67%)
馬単	5.00% (27.25%)	0.00% (0.00%)	9.52% (51.90%)	0.00% (0.00%)	14.29% (122.86%)	6.25% (14.37%)	0.00% (0.00%)	20.00% (46.25%)
三連複	5.00% (7.00%)	5.88% (6.47%)	4.76% (8.10%)	0.00% (0.00%)	28.57% (40.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.00% (8.19%)
三連単	2.50% (26.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	4.76% (49.52%)	0.00% (0.00%)	14.29% (148.57%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.00% (9.43%)
総合	55.00% (41.85%)	58.82% (33.92%)	52.38% (48.66%)	50.00% (35.71%)	85.71% (100.41%)	62.50% (36.17%)	35.29% (24.56%)	90.00% (29.65%)

48R	1点	芝(22R)	ダート(24R)	障害(2R)	8頭以下(11R)	9～12頭(17R)	13頭以上(20R)	多点
単勝	25.00% (77.08%)	27.27% (95.91%)	20.83% (56.67%)	50.00% (115.00%)	45.45% (100.00%)	29.41% (108.82%)	10.00% (37.50%)	58.33% (76.04%)
複勝	52.08% (69.17%)	59.09% (76.36%)	45.83% (63.75%)	50.00% (55.00%)	72.73% (80.91%)	58.82% (82.94%)	35.00% (51.00%)	83.33% (63.96%)
枠連	6.25% (45.94%)	8.33% (47.50%)	5.00% (45.00%)	-- (--)	-- (--)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.00% (73.50%)	37.50% (76.48%)
馬連	10.42% (77.29%)	18.18% (145.45%)	4.17% (21.25%)	0.00% (0.00%)	36.36% (276.36%)	0.00% (0.00%)	5.00% (33.50%)	25.00% (66.46%)
ワイド	20.83% (43.13%)	27.27% (59.55%)	12.50% (25.00%)	50.00% (80.00%)	63.64% (120.91%)	11.76% (26.47%)	5.00% (14.50%)	37.50% (42.36%)
馬単	6.25% (97.71%)	9.09% (174.09%)	4.17% (35.83%)	0.00% (0.00%)	27.27% (426.36%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.00% (63.16%)
三連複	8.33% (33.12%)	13.64% (64.55%)	4.17% (7.08%)	0.00% (0.00%)	36.36% (144.55%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (15.94%)
三連単	2.08% (21.67%)	0.00% (0.00%)	4.17% (43.33%)	0.00% (0.00%)	9.09% (94.55%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	12.50% (17.87%)
総合	52.08% (58.67%)	59.09% (85.06%)	45.83% (37.07%)	50.00% (35.71%)	72.73% (177.66%)	58.82% (27.28%)	35.00% (26.25%)	83.33% (36.76%)

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