本日JRA-VANに変更申請しました。公式にバージョンアップするのは数か月ぶりとなりましたm(__)m 本来はまだまだ納得のいくモデルが出ていないのでリリースする予定ではなかったのですが、あまりにも変更点も多いので現時点で揃ったものをリリースします。
今回、以前のモデルはそのまま添付してます。新たに
- ShinbaTimeCk_manual_1_RMSE_20384.zip
- DeltaTimeCK_manual_7_R2_2375.zip
- RankCK3000_loop1_NDCG7679_7741.zip
を添付しました。通常用走破タイム学習のは今回は断念してます。もう少し時間が必要です。これらを利用する場合は[ツール(T)]-[オプション(O)...]の「ML選択」タブでそれぞれ選択して下さい。
追記 2026.10.4 8:51
今回追加で添付しているモデルは学習データ2004年～2025年なので検証は2026年～じゃないとチートで異常な結果が出ます。
- ShinbaTimeCK_manual_1_RMSE_20384.zip
183R 1点 芝(129R) ダート(54R) 8頭以下(28R) 9～12頭(68R) 13頭以上(87R) 多点 単勝 24.59%
(100.66%)25.58%
(109.46%)22.22%
(79.63%)35.71%
(82.50%)30.88%
(133.09%)16.09%
(81.15%)48.63%
(68.94%)複勝 51.91%
(97.92%)49.61%
(90.93%)57.41%
(114.63%)60.71%
(83.21%)55.88%
(101.47%)45.98%
(99.89%)81.42%
(84.37%)枠連 9.52%
(107.55%)11.34%
(150.10%)6.00%
(25.00%)--
(--)16.18%
(168.68%)3.45%
(49.89%)24.49%
(105.28%)馬連 7.65%
(98.25%)9.30%
(131.24%)3.70%
(19.44%)21.43%
(151.07%)8.82%
(139.71%)2.30%
(48.85%)19.13%
(106.27%)ワイド 18.58%
(99.62%)19.38%
(76.20%)16.67%
(155.56%)39.29%
(113.93%)20.59%
(85.29%)10.34%
(106.21%)38.25%
(100.00%)馬単 4.92%
(122.40%)5.43%
(161.63%)3.70%
(28.70%)14.29%
(181.43%)5.88%
(241.18%)1.15%
(10.57%)19.13%
(105.73%)三連複 4.92%
(108.03%)4.65%
(70.23%)5.56%
(198.33%)7.14%
(177.86%)5.88%
(60.00%)3.45%
(123.10%)10.93%
(76.99%)三連単 2.19%
(193.77%)2.33%
(212.79%)1.85%
(148.33%)7.14%
(534.29%)1.47%
(183.68%)1.15%
(92.07%)10.93%
(57.91%)総合 53.55%
(116.24%)51.94%
(124.53%)57.41%
(96.87%)60.71%
(189.18%)60.29%
(139.14%)45.98%
(76.47%)81.42%
(75.61%) - DeltaTimeCK_manual_7_R2_2375.zip
2,610R 1点 芝(1,278R) ダート(1,243R) 障害(89R) 8頭以下(157R) 9～12頭(665R) 13頭以上(1,788R) 多点 単勝 24.02%
(76.18%)24.26%
(79.26%)24.14%
(74.30%)19.10%
(57.98%)32.48%
(71.08%)26.17%
(71.20%)22.48%
(78.47%)53.03%
(76.37%)複勝 55.29%
(80.56%)54.54%
(81.55%)56.23%
(80.04%)52.81%
(73.60%)64.97%
(91.08%)60.45%
(81.31%)52.52%
(79.36%)88.24%
(81.03%)枠連 13.46%
(75.75%)12.41%
(72.37%)14.39%
(78.95%)13.92%
(74.30%)--
(--)14.44%
(71.68%)12.30%
(72.81%)29.30%
(77.29%)馬連 9.77%
(65.36%)9.47%
(67.28%)10.14%
(64.05%)8.99%
(56.18%)20.38%
(97.20%)11.73%
(70.99%)8.11%
(60.47%)22.91%
(74.36%)ワイド 23.87%
(75.13%)22.38%
(71.10%)25.66%
(79.90%)20.22%
(66.52%)37.58%
(72.99%)27.97%
(79.94%)21.14%
(73.53%)45.36%
(78.11%)馬単 5.17%
(59.82%)5.01%
(69.34%)5.31%
(49.77%)5.62%
(63.60%)10.19%
(58.03%)6.92%
(70.32%)4.08%
(56.08%)22.91%
(73.43%)三連複 6.55%
(82.69%)6.42%
(74.92%)6.76%
(89.44%)5.62%
(99.78%)13.38%
(91.02%)7.22%
(87.53%)5.70%
(80.15%)16.40%
(73.56%)三連単 1.38%
(68.10%)1.25%
(59.13%)1.53%
(79.99%)1.12%
(30.67%)2.55%
(51.46%)2.26%
(119.47%)0.95%
(50.45%)16.40%
(67.78%)総合 56.70%
(72.91%)55.87%
(71.86%)57.68%
(74.53%)55.06%
(65.20%)66.88%
(76.12%)61.35%
(81.56%)54.08%
(68.91%)88.47%
(71.85%) - RankCK3000_loop1_NDCG7679_7741.zip
2,610R 1点 芝(1,278R) ダート(1,243R) 障害(89R) 8頭以下(157R) 9～12頭(665R) 13頭以上(1,788R) 多点 単勝 24.75%
(75.89%)25.04%
(81.96%)24.70%
(71.30%)21.35%
(52.81%)33.76%
(74.78%)27.07%
(71.82%)23.10%
(77.51%)54.67%
(75.35%)複勝 55.52%
(80.09%)53.36%
(78.44%)57.52%
(82.08%)58.43%
(76.07%)64.33%
(92.36%)60.45%
(78.06%)52.91%
(79.77%)89.66%
(81.16%)枠連 13.76%
(74.67%)12.13%
(75.46%)14.90%
(72.29%)18.99%
(99.24%)--
(--)13.98%
(60.81%)12.86%
(75.44%)30.49%
(76.91%)馬連 9.96%
(65.54%)8.69%
(66.33%)11.10%
(64.22%)12.36%
(72.70%)20.38%
(87.83%)11.43%
(63.91%)8.50%
(64.19%)23.60%
(71.87%)ワイド 24.18%
(73.08%)22.69%
(71.83%)25.91%
(75.45%)21.35%
(58.09%)40.13%
(78.85%)27.22%
(70.56%)21.64%
(73.52%)46.17%
(76.18%)馬単 5.48%
(56.70%)4.93%
(58.16%)6.11%
(56.11%)4.49%
(43.93%)12.10%
(81.21%)6.77%
(66.80%)4.42%
(50.79%)23.60%
(70.33%)三連複 6.59%
(71.77%)6.34%
(68.12%)7.00%
(78.69%)4.49%
(27.64%)13.38%
(90.45%)7.37%
(61.35%)5.70%
(74.01%)16.93%
(77.84%)三連単 1.46%
(90.74%)1.02%
(49.79%)1.93%
(137.14%)1.12%
(30.67%)1.91%
(106.43%)1.65%
(58.74%)1.34%
(101.26%)16.93%
(74.78%)総合 57.20%
(73.55%)55.56%
(68.63%)58.81%
(79.71%)58.43%
(57.05%)67.52%
(87.42%)60.90%
(66.51%)54.92%
(74.56%)89.96%
(74.93%)
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