2026年7月5日日曜日

さらだ Version 3.2.8

ランキング学習に追加した特徴量が悪影響し単勝的中率が2~3%落ちてたので、その特徴量を無視する様にしたものです。

イテレーション数3,000、葉271、率0.01、分割数47、葉の最小50、ボーダー500、乗数2.0で学習させNDCG@1=0.7795 NDCG@3=0.7832というモデル

3,455R 1点 芝(1,689R) ダート(1,646R) 障害(120R) 8頭以下(219R) 9~12頭(809R) 13頭以上(2,427R) 多点
単勝 28.45%
(84.64%)
27.41%
(84.03%)
29.22%
(83.66%)
32.50%
(106.67%)
35.62%
(78.77%)
29.91%
(86.66%)
27.32%
(84.50%)
58.35%
(77.63%)
複勝 59.68%
(85.75%)
59.21%
(85.41%)
59.90%
(85.83%)
63.33%
(89.42%)
70.32%
(87.40%)
64.40%
(85.67%)
57.15%
(85.62%)
89.52%
(82.57%)
枠連 16.00%
(82.11%)
16.47%
(90.87%)
15.25%
(73.94%)
21.21%
(87.27%)
--
(--)
17.18%
(75.74%)
14.59%
(79.02%)
31.21%
(77.55%)
馬連 12.65%
(81.45%)
13.03%
(83.90%)
11.97%
(79.78%)
16.67%
(69.75%)
23.74%
(61.42%)
14.71%
(78.68%)
10.96%
(84.18%)
25.85%
(73.79%)
ワイド 27.15%
(87.40%)
28.42%
(89.50%)
25.70%
(86.00%)
29.17%
(76.92%)
48.40%
(78.31%)
32.51%
(84.26%)
23.44%
(89.26%)
49.70%
(80.68%)
馬単 7.18%
(77.90%)
6.87%
(74.82%)
7.23%
(81.28%)
10.83%
(74.92%)
13.24%
(59.59%)
8.16%
(74.00%)
6.30%
(80.85%)
25.85%
(70.97%)
三連複 6.51%
(78.05%)
7.40%
(58.88%)
5.35%
(95.43%)
10.00%
(109.58%)
18.26%
(64.84%)
8.90%
(73.28%)
4.66%
(80.83%)
17.19%
(81.15%)
三連単 1.62%
(71.76%)
1.84%
(53.82%)
1.40%
(90.14%)
1.67%
(72.08%)
4.57%
(47.40%)
2.47%
(66.14%)
1.07%
(75.83%)
17.19%
(73.70%)
総合 60.78%
(81.12%)
60.57%
(77.37%)
60.81%
(84.56%)
63.33%
(85.79%)
74.43%
(68.25%)
65.02%
(78.05%)
58.14%
(82.51%)
89.84%
(75.40%)

どれにするか悩みましたが、これを今回添付してます。

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さらだ Version 3.2.8

ランキング学習に追加した特徴量が悪影響し単勝的中率が2~3%落ちてたので、その特徴量を無視する様にしたものです。 イテレーション数3,000、葉271、率0.01、分割数47、葉の最小50、ボーダー500、乗数2.0で学習させNDCG@1=0.7795 NDCG@3=0.78...